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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
Master Moltar
04/25/20 2:54:42 AM
#13:


~*Posts from the Crew Archive*~

Division 6: Round 2 - Match 86 (5) Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain vs. (4) Dark Souls

Moltars Analysis

Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain
Round 1 - 54.67% vs Perfect Dark

Dark Souls
Round 1 - 66.70% vs Sid Meier's Civilization V

So MGS kind of hasnt looked good at all this contest. A lot of people saw 55% on Perfect Dark as disappointing, but I guess I was anticipating a disappointing performance because I wasnt surprised.

After both entrants had their Round 1 matches, I was still feeling alright about MGSV here, but I dont know anymore. Yeah, MGS has its series fans, but after 4 and 5, it looks like a segment of the fans have moved on from the series. Dark Souls and its brethren games feel more in favor with the general public right now.

Im thinking Dark Souls takes it in a close one.

Moltars Bracket: Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain

Moltars Prediction: Dark Souls 52%

Transiences Analysis

I have Dark Souls in my bracket. Bloodborne showed that the Souls series was decent and Metal Gear 4/5 have been underwhelming for sure. Add in that new games outside of Undertale are bombing and it's kind of easy to pick Dark Souls here.

Metal Gear has some brand name loyalty that could rear its ugly head if Dark Souls isn't widely known or respected. I wouldn't be super surprised to see that. I don't know though.. I think the Dark Souls name gets around pretty well these days and it's a more respected game than Metal Gear Solid V. I feel comfortable picking it.

Some people have talked about a potential rally but I think the source -- some person rallying for Undertale being in the Dark Souls fan community -- is more than a little sketchy. I did say pre-contest though that Dark Souls over LTTP was as good of a crazy upset/rally pick than anything though, so we'll see!

transience's prediction: Dark Souls with 54.68%

Leonharts Analysis

Dark Souls was one of my upset specials pre-contest, and nothing we saw round one dissuaded me from believing it can win here. Its hard to tell how much Dark Souls win over Civilization V was really worth, but at least it got a pretty high percentage, unlike MGSV against Perfect Dark. I suppose the only thing really having me nervous about Dark Souls is how bad Demons Souls looked against Half-Life 2, which just got rocked by Metroid Prime. Then again, we saw the gap between Persona 3 and Persona 4 is apparently humongous, so I guess I should hope its the same here!

Leonharts Vote: Metal Gear Solid V

Leonharts Prediction: Dark Souls with 52.50%

Kleenexs Analysis

Metal Gear did not look great last round. MGSV especially really disappointed against a game that quite frankly isnt worth a whole lot. The upside is that it makes this round way more interesting than it could have been if Metal Gear was at full strength. Dark Souls did well enough on an even weaker opponent than Perfect Dark so I my mind this match is probably pretty close to even without taking anything else into account. I do think, though, that in the case of something close, Dark Souls is a huge favorite. The fanbase is way more rabid than Metal Gear could ever hope and I would not be surprised to see somewhat of a mini-rally here if need be. I could be totally wrong about this, but Im feeling pretty good about Dark Souls here.

Dark Souls with 53%

Guests Analysis - Luster Soldier

After the somewhat disappointing performance from MGSV in round 1 and new games generally bombing left and right, I have to back out of choosing MGSV to win another match even if I might have it in my bracket. I am a bit skeptical of MGSV winning another match considering how new the game is.

Dark Souls put up a good showing in round 1 against Civilization V, proving that it has a chance of winning another match. Dark Souls has also been around longer than MGSV and is a last-gen game, so Dark Souls should have a higher playrate than MGSV. That gives Dark Souls one advantage over MGSV in this match.

Luster Soldier's Bracket: Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain
Luster Soldier's Prediction: Dark Souls - 53.18%

Crew Consensus: DS played MGSV like a damn fiddle
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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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