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TopicWithout a vaccine there is no normalcy
Lokarin
04/26/20 5:11:36 AM
#3:


Depends on the rate of spread.

If the rate of spread and mutation rates are high enough... then may as well end quarantine because it's now just a new normal part of life the same way as the common cold and influenza and salmonella and e.coli are.

However, if we continue to hit hard against it... we can keep it contained.

...

Or in other words: Assume the disease has a 1% mortality rate and infects the entire planet of 8 billion people (not to scale), that would be 80 million dead. Now imagine any other thing doing the same... such as a war or a famine or an asteroid collision. Those are ONE-AND-DONE. Same would be true if this was a chemical agent or an idle bacteria/fungal attack.

However, it's a virus... uncontained it's not just 1% once for every person on the planet... it's 1% for the rest of humanity.

...

That's why we need that vaccine.

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