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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
Master Moltar
05/06/20 11:34:20 AM
#12:


Round 4 The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt vs. God of War

Moltars Analysis

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt
Round 1 84.07% vs. Assassin's Creed Odyssey
Round 2 78.40% vs. Mass Effect 3
Round 3 60.60% vs. Super Mario Galaxy 2

God of War
Round 1 84.92% vs. The Talos Principle
Round 2 74.46% vs. Nioh
Round 3 55.27% vs. Fallout: New Vegas

So Witcher only looks mortal when its facing non-western games, and God of War is a western game.

HMMMMMMM

Like GoW should hold up way better than AssCreed and ME3 because its way stronger and GameFAQs actually likes it, but this western game hierarchy is still going to be brutal for it. Indirectly, I dont think these games are all that far from each other.

Unfortunately for it, were at the point when GameFAQs likes all the games that are left in the bracket, and theres going to be overlap everywhere. Witcher 3 has clearly looked to be at the top of non-Nintendo/Square/Japan game mountain, so brace for another overpeformance.

Moltars Bracket: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt

Moltars Prediction: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt 59%

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transiences Analysis

So, Smash is really killing it today, which I guess suggests that God of War should do okay here? Nah. I won't give it credit because of an SFF match, even if it didn't go my way. Mario/Smash was always going to be a coinflip of where the fanbase would lie.

Anyway, Witcher 3 had a nice performance against Galaxy 2, though it isn't as overpowering so much as a classic FF7/Nintendo trend match. I think I'd take Galaxy 2 over New Vegas? I don't have a good feel on this division because the competition for GOW and W3 just hasn't been predictable outside of Galaxy 2, and you have to keep reminding yourself that Galaxy 2 just isn't that good.

I'm not impressed by the New Vegas/GOW result, so I think I'll go big on Witcher. Though honestly, I don't even know what going big is!

transience's prediction: The Witcher 3 with 59.55%

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Leonharts Analysis

I wanted to see a little bit of Smash Ultimate/Mario Odyssey before I wrote this, and Im pretty happy with what Im looking at here! This result validates Smash Ultimate and Spider-Man, and thus God of War by extension. I know some people have been skeptical of it from the start and even the people who picked it to beat Witcher 3 (like me) have basically given up on that. However, I still think GoWs strength is legit and I think it can keep this respectable. I suppose theres some chance that Witcher 3 can put up some western game SFF on it or something, but I wouldnt bet on that.

Normally Id say that Breath of the Wilds underperformance provides an opening for Witcher 3 to capitalize on that first sign of weakness, but we all know its still not going to matter unless it goes for the doubling here or something! Personally, Id be impressed enough with it getting close to what it got on Super Mario Galaxy 2.

Leonharts Vote: God of War

Leonharts Prediction: The Witcher 3 with 54.15%

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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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