LogFAQs > #939694075

LurkerFAQs, Active DB, DB1, DB2, DB3, DB4, DB5, Database 6 ( 01.01.2020-07.18.2020 ), DB7, DB8, DB9, DB10, DB11, DB12, Clear
Topic List
Page List: 1
Topic~~ Ctes' Post-Contest Analysis (PCA) ~~
ctesjbuvf
05/25/20 4:33:12 PM
#165:


Round 1 Division 8 Day 16
Celeste 49.55%
Rayman Legends 50.45%

Prediction Percentage 37.78%

After a mostly boring round 1 with lots of blowouts, the final day of the round gave us the best match of the contest so far and got us all hyped again for round 2. It was almost out of the blue. We werent particularly hyped for the match before it came. No one was expecting it to deliver this much. Celeste was already the favorite by a pretty big amount and the first round hadnt really done anything to change that, the contrary if anything. Celeste is everything that we up until this point had agreed was good to be as an indie.

Rayman Legends marks the first appearance of a Rayman game in any of our contests. We also only got the character into two contests. First time when expanding the field 2007 where he jobbed hard to Snake, Nightmare and Vyse. No point in getting him back in then, until 2013 expanding the field as insanely much as it did. From that point forward, he might be able to win the right match as being a mascot or well known character is better now than it used to be. Unfortunately for Rayman, he drew Squall in 2013 and missed the field completely in 2018. Perhaps if he gets into Smash Bros, we might care to nominate him again. Otherwise its a long shot. Thats a huge part of the reason people had little faith in Rayman Legends. Its not even considered to be the best of what a series capable of doing nothing had to offer.

The match was exciting almost right away. Celeste won the board vote by quite a bit. Its not too surprising, we love games that. A lot of indies have had similar trends, and Ive seen people talk a lot about Celeste and never about Rayman. On top of that we have the bracket votes, but Rayman didnt really allow Celeste to get away. It held the lead during the freeze, going up and down a little bit, before being ahead by 21 at the freeze. Given what trends weve seen similar games to Celeste have, and given that Celeste probably had the board vote and the bracket vote, this sure didnt look very good for it.

True enough, Celestes lead dropped to only 6 in the next update despite bracket votes and the like still being in its favor. At that point, you could be really happy having Rayman in your bracket, because things were looking really good for it. Then the match randomly turned. Celeste won the next update by 3 votes, which isnt much, but everyone expected a lead change. Celeste extended that to 20 votes the following update and go slightly up from there for a few more updates, before Rayman made a small cut. With a small lead of 36, perhaps it was still the power hour in effect. There was hope for a Rayman supporter, right?

The next update would have Celeste bursting up to 88 and the one after that up to 144. That was a very quick shift that certainly looked like Celeste had this one in the bag. The next while would have them go a big back and forth at times, but overall, Celeste was going upward. Suddenly, it looked like Rayman had actually won the board vote. Five hours into the match, Celeste was up by 300 votes. It was looking like it was over, but that it would just end up being a lot closer than we thought it would.

The 5-hour mark is interesting, because its when Celeste stopped going up. Two updates later it was ahead by 333 votes, which is the highest lead any of them had the whole match. Rayman did a pretty big cut then, but no one was paying too much attention yet. An hour later Celeste would be at the same spot. In other words, they were stalling for an hour. Then Rayman began working at making the match interesting from that point forward, as the US went to sleep and Europe began waking up. Rayman was winning in most of Europe, while Celeste held the lead in NA.

---
Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to azuarc, the winner of the Game of the Decade II guru contest.
... Copied to Clipboard!
Topic List
Page List: 1