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TopicCoronavirus Topic 10
Corrik7
07/26/20 10:08:20 PM
#369:


LordoftheMorons posted...
The scientific consensus is that R0 is in the 2-3 range. It's certainly not less than ~1.4, which is what you would need for herd immunity even in the case where 30% of the population had been infected. Iirc serology testing has found antibodies in ~20-30% of NYC residents.

The combination of mitigation measures and partial herd immunity has self evidently brought the effective R below 1 since new cases have been decreasing there.
Antibodies fade quickly and are not reliable indicators of who all had the virus because you could have no antibodies and still have had it. The T Cell response remains after your antibodies fade within many people as little as 3 weeks later.

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