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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1365
LinkMarioSamus
01/16/21 9:17:18 AM
#268:


Leonhart4 posted...
The logic was the results. I know that can be tough to understand, but just look at CT/FFX and OoT/FFIX. Unless you're calling for SFF in CT/FFX (unlikely based on the pre-rally numbers against Melee) or FFIX > FFX (unlikely just based on the entirety of contest history), CT was in the ballpark of OoT in 2015 and just looked better.

"There's no way that would happen" isn't a logical basis for an adjustment. The numbers say what they say. It doesn't mean you have to believe CT would actually win (although the "rallies always make contests better" crowd loves to assume CT would've had no chance to justify ruining that contest). It's just what the available data suggests.

I don't call for SFF in CT/FFX. If anything I think CT and FFX are both being over-valued. Tidus crapping the bed and Auron doing worse against Snake in 2018 than he was directly projected to do in 2010 point to an FFX decline. So CT's only three wins in 2015 were over two pieces of fodder and a game whose main character got killed by Donkey Kong, and I'm supposed to believe it's the #1 game so easily? No thank you. And I still have CT as #1 in the x-stats, just with 51% on OOT instead of 54%. Yeah OOT didn't look so great struggling to triple Suikoden II, but that doesn't look that bad because Suikoden II is precisely the kind of game this site goes gaga over. And even with the adjustments FFIX just barely breaks 49% on FFX.

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