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Topic	Joe Biden voted for the Iraq War
COVxy 01/20/21 6:02:50 PM #64:	COVxy posted... What I mean is that the only reasonable way to evaluate a decision is how optimally the available information is integrated. A shitty decision isn't a shitty decision because of its outcome, though shitty decisions will on average have shittier outcomes. Just to be clear, let me give an example. Let's say I have two choices. I've spent enough time randomly sampling from each to know that choice A rewards me about 70% of the time, while choice B rewards me about 30% of the time. Based on this I choose A and I don't receive a reward. Was that a shitty choice? No, it was the optimal choice, but it had a shitty outcome. --- =E[(x-E[x])(y-E[y])] <cite>COVxy posted [p:949727808] in Joe Biden ... [t:79249848]...</cite> <quote>COVxy posted... </cite> <quote>What I mean is that the only reasonable way to evaluate a decision is how optimally the available information is integrated. A shitty decision isn't a shitty decision because of its outcome, though shitty decisions will on average have shittier outcomes.</quote> Just to be clear, let me give an example. Let's say I have two choices. I've spent enough time randomly sampling from each to know that choice A rewards me about 70% of the time, while choice B rewards me about 30% of the time. Based on this I choose A and I don't receive a reward. Was that a shitty choice? No, it was the optimal choice, but it had a shitty outcome. --- =E[(x-E[x])(y-E[y])]</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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