Wow, I'm surprised by the Sansa win! Even though I voted for Cersei, I'm fine with Sansa making it to the division finals. That said...
(4)Varys - Again, I don't find Jon to be especially compelling, perhaps a *bit* too clichéd, and since he'll probably win this, I'm going to give my vote to good old' Varys.
(3)Theon Greyjoy - Absolutely no doubt in my mind. Theon is one of the best characters of the whole series, with incredible development and complexity, while Syrio's a one-scene wonder.
Unsure about Jon/Varys, but I think Jon takes it. The winner will fall before Theon, though, who will make short work of Syrio. Still unsure about how Tyrion/Theon will fly (Tyrion has been underwhelming against LF), guess I'll have to wait and see how good of a performance Theon gives this round before making predictions.
--
When you have nothing to say, quote yourself ~ Solfadore