LogFAQs > #909435830

Apropos of nothing in particular, for everyone who is insisting that Kavanaugh is being done dirty and these allegations are unfounded, I've put together a list of reasons why Ford is - at least to my eye - currently coming across as much more believable than Kavanaugh on the subject of these allegations.

1) In general, accusations are true far more often than they are fabricated. If I told you "Person A accused Person B of sexually assaulting them while Person B insisted nothing happened" and told you nothing else about the situation or either person, then asked you to bet on whether the allegations were true or not, smart money would be on Person A's version of events by an enormous margin.

2) Ford has been talking about this for long before Kavanaugh's name came up for the Supreme Court, discussing this with her personal therapist six years ago, as evinced by the therapist's notes. This strongly suggests that this was not a story concocted for political gain.

3) In addition, details of Ford's story don't make sense for a fabrication. For instance, she puts Mark Judge in the room with her and Kavanaugh - why would she do that if she made it up? If the story was a fabrication, that would put two people's word against her one. If I was in her shoes and I was going to put *anyone* in this story in the room with me, it would be someone loyal to me who could back up my version of events; Judge is a friend of Kavanaugh's and is a reasonably well-known conservative to boot.

4) She voluntarily took a lie detector test (and passed) and has been strident in her calls for an FBI investigation. Again, these are not the actions of someone who has made up a story - people generally want less oversight of their lies, not more, because if this story is a fabrication the FBI could easily turn up holes in the story that would exonerate Kavanaugh.

5) By contrast, Kavanaugh's conduct during this whole thing has not been encouraging. In spite of the fact that he is being - according to his claims - falsely accused, he has, to the best of my knowledge, not spoken in support of an independent investigation even once. If *I* was being falsely accused, I'd certainly want my name cleared as quickly and thoroughly as possible.

6) Mark Judge hasn't been helping his friend's case either. He gave a terse statement that nothing happened and he didn't want to talk about it, then immediately went into hiding to escape the media firestorm that followed. Now, in complete fairness to Judge, having the media hounding you is not a pleasant experience, so I can at least partially understand that reaction, but at the same time a good friend of yours is being accused of some pretty serious stuff, with you being placed as a witness. Certainly if my friend was falsely being accused of something and I was being labelled as a witness, I would immediately and repeatedly declare his innocence. There's an excellent question to be asked here, and few people have bothered doing it - if Mark Judge is telling the truth and nothing really did happen, why doesn't he want to talk about it further?
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