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TopicLet's discuss the bracket, match by match
Evillordexdeath
10/05/18 7:58:09 AM
#58:


Battle 33: (1) Squall Leonhart vs (16) Hat Kid

Squall wins with 85%

Battle 34: (8) Garrus Vakarian vs. (9) Ramza Beoulve


Mass Effect's status as a series has really degraded since the last contest. It makes sense to assume that the characters will be weaker on that basis. Last time around, Garrus came kind of close to Sub-Zero. That should be ahead of Ramza pretty easily - Ramza is another example of a character with an embarrassing contest history, particularly that loss to Hogger. He has to hope that his game has undergone some of the resurgence we saw from Chrono Trigger in 2015 - or that Garrus has fallen off really rapidly. As much as I love FFT, I don't think either of those are likely. Garrus wins with 55%

Battle 35: (5) Metal Sonic vs. (12) The Boss


Since Metal Sonic has never appeared before, this one could be a bit tricky. The Boss isn't that great. She barely edged out Drake in 2010, though she did have the seeding - and therefore bracket votes - against her. Metal Sonic might pull it off - I feel like he could end up having some strength. I think he'd have to be the second-strongest Sonic character to win this in the first place. The Boss wins with 55%

Battle 36: (4) Zelda vs. (13) Ezio Auditore da Firenze


This is a rematch. Last time Ezio was a 2 seed. Zelda scored 62%. She should go higher this time. He'll be weaker, and she might even be stronger. Zelda wins with 70%

Battle 37: (3) Aloy vs. (14) D.Va


D.Va is one of the characters people have suggested as a rally target. I said earlier that I think she's one of the more likely ones, and that's because I think she at least theoretically has what she needs. So far, we've seen three contest winning rallies: one from a complete joke character, one from a character from a competitive online game with a huge playerbase, and one from a smash-hit indie game that had been released only a couple of months before. D.Va fits into the second category. Overwatch's playerbase certainly is large enough to win her the contest if they care enough.

The really sad thing is that she might not even need a rally to be Aloy. That could turn out to help her - she would get out of the first match with no trouble. But it could also be her downfall: if she doesn't need it, her rally won't get started, and therefore she will have to begin it in round 2, against an opponent who just might be too strong for a fresh rally. After all, Fox is no Jak. D.Va wins with 50.5%

Battle 38: (6) Jill Valentine vs. (11) Fox McCloud


I was being a bit flippant just there, because these two are actually really close. In 2010 Jill scored 33% on Samus - and Fox scored 33% on Snake. Fox is only a few spots ahead of her in the X-Stats for that year. Part of my inclination to take Fox is just that he's a character I really like (I nominated him for this contest.) In 2013, Fox looked like he might have been able to take down a Pokemon character if the format didn't screw him. Meanwhile, Jill finished a little ahead of Kratos while getting blown out by Mega Man. Maybe you can cite some kind of Capcom SFF and say that this isn't a fair comparison, but would I take Fox over Kratos? Yes. Easily. Fox wins with 52%
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