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TopicLet's discuss the bracket, match by match
Evillordexdeath
10/05/18 6:37:33 PM
#60:


Battle 43: (5) Sans Undertale vs. (12) Pac-Man

In case you don't know, Sans Undertale is the main character of Undertale, which won the most recent GameFAQs contest. As such, he's one of the characters in the rally discussion. Allen really seems to like the guy, since he not only gave him a winnable match, but actually let him into the contest twice under different names.

To begin with, let's talk about how strong Sans Undertale will be without a rally. This site demonstrably does not care about his game. It was getting doubled by the hated Mass Effect 3 before its rally kicked in. It also had an underwhelming performance in GotY, and after the contest, a PotD ran asking people if it had convinced them to play Undertale. The overwhelming response was one of apathy. He's probably not quite in the bottom 5 as a starting point, but he won't be able to beat Pac-Man.

I think it's exceptionally hard for the same entity to rally twice. There will be a sense of "been there, done that." Undertale is also past its peak as a game. I don't think it will be Sans Undertale who gets the rally. Pac-Man wins with 60%

Battle 44: (4) Bayonetta vs. (12) Riku


I picked Riku at first, but I wasn't too confident. Looking over the guy's previous performances gives me more faith in him. He's done surprisingly well for himself over the years - though maybe not too surprisingly, since his bro is a high-ranking character. Riku is probably the second-strongest guy from KH, and he's scored over 60% on Ramza, defeated Ryu H, and lost close matches against Frog, Captain Falcon, and even Yoshi. Bayonetta didn't quite double N in 2013 - who was not hugely stronger than Wander. To be fair, in round 2 she came sort-of-close on Alucard. I don't think that extrapolating from that match would get her to Riku's percentage on Captain Falcon, but she's had a lot of reason to boost since then - but with KHIII being a highly-anticipated game these days, the same might be said of Riku.

Bayonetta 2 wasn't great in 2015, but it wasn't terrible either - it got like 37% on RDR, which then got 40% on SotC. So perhaps it will give her a decent boost - which she needs. She has to beat his boost by enough to overtake the gap that already existed between them, it seems. I think it's a bit of a long shot. Riku wins with 52%

Battle 45: (3) Auron vs. (14) Lucina


Back to free points. Auron wins with 70%

Battle 46: (6) Magus vs. (11) Vincent Valentine


Vincent's a tough guy to call in terms of his strength. He used to be a #10 candidate - and in fact, he was the first guy to break the noble nine in any format - so long as we don't count Solano's B8-only poll. But after that 2013 loss to Phoenix Wright it's hard to say how far he's fallen. Magus was way below him in the past, and is himself a legendary choker.

I think that Vincent will surprise people a little bit, but he should be the favorite in this match regardless. Vincent wins with 60%

Battle 47: (7) Shulk vs. (10) Sub-Zero


Rounding out the post with some free points. Sub-Zero wins with 58%
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