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TopicKP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato
10/11/18 10:35:17 PM
#17:


Divison 2 Match 1
Zero vs. Primrose


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5250-character-battle-ix-division-9-round-2-zero-mmx-vs-cube-vs

Zero, meet a character that only made it in due to recency bias and Allen specifically adding in every Octopath character into the ballet before putting nominations up. Primrose, meet a Z-Saber to the face.

Final Score
Zero - 80%
Primrose - 20%

Zero has a 100% chance of winning

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Division 2 Match 2
Zidane Tribal vs. Knuckles


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5184-character-battle-ix-division-5-round-1-dancin-vs-zidane-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5238-character-battle-ix-division-5-round-2-dante-vs-squirtle-vs

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3739-chaos-division-round-1-cecil-harvey-vs-knuckles
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5199-character-battle-ix-division-7-round-1-knuckles-vs-seifer-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5243-character-battle-ix-division-7-round-2-samus-vs-catherine-vs

This is a bit of a trap match. A decade ago, Knuckles (probably) wins this easily. He's had some solid results in the past while Zidane used to be fodder. Then Dissidia came out and Zidane became respectable, cleanly beating Ridley and putting up respectable (relatively speaking) numbers against Dante and Squirtle, while Knuckles almost jobbed to Cecil, couldn't put up decent numbers against two FF C-list FF characters splitting the vote, and got stomped by Samus. It's possible that Samus did some weird Nintendo/Sonic SFF, but still, look at where the stats wound up:

Zidane (2013c) has a strength of 28.72 against Base Link.
Knuckles (2013c) has a strength of 24.86 against Base Link.

Zidane56.72%30,606
Knuckles43.28%23,354
TOTAL VOTES53,960
Zidane wins with 56.72% of the vote!

I feel like Knux would do a bit better than that but not by much. He's really going to have to come out swinging to prove that he isn't a has-been.

Results:
Zidane - 54%
Knuckles - 46%
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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