LogFAQs > #910430769

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Topic	KP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato 10/12/18 8:22:49 PM #53:	Division 4 Match 1 2B vs. Cayde-6 https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6945-best-of-2017-playstation-4 https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6113-best-game-ever-day-16-starcraft-vs-destiny Hey, I remember Cayde from what I played of Destiny 2. He was the one character they tried to inject some personality in! And he still sucked. Mewtwo may be a fraud but I don't think he's as big of a fraud as 2B's 1 Seed status is. She would've gotten in anyway even without winning the NRT, but a 1 Seed is pretty bonkers compared to what her actual strength is going to be. GameFAQs liked Nier Automata but it didn't like it that much, and it's really only 2B's overall status as one of the breakout character (designs) of recent years that is going to give her any great deal of strength. She's still going to coast past the potential weakest character in this bracket. If Destiny the game was awful, just how bad do you think Destiny characters are going to be? Result: 2B - 80% Cayde - 20% 2B has a 100% chance of winning --- Division 4 Match 2 Shadow the Hedgehog vs. Ness https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3735-hyrule-division-round-1-amaterasu-vs-shadow https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5239-character-battle-ix-division-5-round-2-shadow-vs-leon-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3824-jenova-division-round-2-big-daddy-vs-ness https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5166-character-battle-ix-division-3-round-1-cats-vs-ness-vs-locke This match is like Tidus/DK except way tougher. Both Shadow and Ness have a tendency to get in close matches and put on really weird performances. They have the occasional wacky upset but mostly they choke. Both can compete but neither can compete. Not on any level that matters. Ness is, at least to me, the character who have to beat to be able to be called to be called a true midcarder and not just that weird gray area between low midcarder and high fodder. If you can cleanly beat Ness then people can start paying attention to you in contests. The fact that Shadow might still lose this match is, frankly speaking, immensely embarrassing. Shadow used to be legit. Remember this? https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1345-south-division-round-2-mario-vs-shadow-the-hedgehog Shadow used to be cool. He used to be hip. He used to tickle the hearts of the teen boys that dominated GameFAQs back in the day. Unfortunately for Shadow, the same thing happened to him that happened to Vincent: GameFAQs grew up. Edgey became embarrassing. Losing to Amaterasu was the turning point where people realized that Shadow simply couldn't compete like he used to. There was no 4-way madness to blame there, he just...lost. He looked weaker in 2013 than in 2010 as well - well, it would be more accurate that he gets a little weaker every year. Honestly speaking, I'm being unfair to these guys. The stats actually put them as being pretty decent in both 2010 and 2013. For example, 2010 predicts that Ness would beat Ike. But...I never would. Not in a million years. I just don't trust them. None of their recent results make me think they could go the distance in a match that mattered. They're there to underwhelm, not over. And it's in that mentality that I find my answer. Ness and Shadow looked about even in 2010/2013, so you have to look at what will make them lose, not win. Shadow has reason to continue dropping as GameFAQs continues to grow up, while Ness should be constant, so... Result: Shadow - 48% Ness - 52% Ness has a 55% chance of winning ~~Better pick this one right, because the winner probably beats 2B.~~ --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. <cite>KamikazePotato posted [p:910430769] in KP's (In-D... [t:77089574]...</cite> <quote>Division 4 Match 1 2B vs. Cayde-6 https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6945-best-of-2017-playstation-4 https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6113-best-game-ever-day-16-starcraft-vs-destiny Hey, I remember Cayde from what I played of Destiny 2. He was the one character they tried to inject some personality in! And he still sucked. Mewtwo may be a fraud but I don't think he's as big of a fraud as 2B's 1 Seed status is. She would've gotten in anyway even without winning the NRT, but a 1 Seed is pretty bonkers compared to what her actual strength is going to be. GameFAQs liked Nier Automata but it didn't like it that much, and it's really only 2B's overall status as one of the breakout character (designs) of recent years that is going to give her any great deal of strength. She's still going to coast past the potential weakest character in this bracket. If Destiny the game was awful, just how bad do you think Destiny characters are going to be? Result: 2B - 80% Cayde - 20% 2B has a 100% chance of winning --- Division 4 Match 2 Shadow the Hedgehog vs. Ness https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3735-hyrule-division-round-1-amaterasu-vs-shadow https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5239-character-battle-ix-division-5-round-2-shadow-vs-leon-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3824-jenova-division-round-2-big-daddy-vs-ness https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5166-character-battle-ix-division-3-round-1-cats-vs-ness-vs-locke This match is like Tidus/DK except way tougher. Both Shadow and Ness have a tendency to get in close matches and put on really weird performances. They have the occasional wacky upset but mostly they choke. Both can compete but neither can compete. Not on any level that matters. Ness is, at least to me, the character who have to beat to be able to be called to be called a true midcarder and not just that weird gray area between low midcarder and high fodder. If you can cleanly beat Ness then people can start paying attention to you in contests. The fact that Shadow might still lose this match is, frankly speaking, immensely embarrassing. Shadow used to be legit. Remember this? https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1345-south-division-round-2-mario-vs-shadow-the-hedgehog Shadow used to be cool. He used to be hip. He used to tickle the hearts of the teen boys that dominated GameFAQs back in the day. Unfortunately for Shadow, the same thing happened to him that happened to Vincent: GameFAQs grew up. Edgey became embarrassing. Losing to Amaterasu was the turning point where people realized that Shadow simply couldn't compete like he used to. There was no 4-way madness to blame there, he just...lost. He looked weaker in 2013 than in 2010 as well - well, it would be more accurate that he gets a little weaker every year. Honestly speaking, I'm being unfair to these guys. The stats actually put them as being pretty decent in both 2010 and 2013. For example, 2010 predicts that Ness would beat Ike. But...I never would. Not in a million years. I just don't trust them. None of their recent results make me think they could go the distance in a match that mattered. They're there to underwhelm, not over. And it's in that mentality that I find my answer. Ness and Shadow looked about even in 2010/2013, so you have to look at what will make them lose, not win. Shadow has reason to continue dropping as GameFAQs continues to grow up, while Ness should be constant, so... Result: Shadow - 48% Ness - 52% Ness has a 55% chance of winning Better pick this one right, because the winner probably beats 2B. --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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