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TopicKP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato
10/12/18 8:42:53 PM
#59:


Division 4 Match 3
Terra Branford vs. Charizard


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3821-gear-division-round-2-terra-branford-vs-squall
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5168-character-battle-ix-division-3-round-1-kirby-vs-terra-vs

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5223-character-battle-ix-division-9-round-1-charizard-vs-riku-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5251-character-battle-ix-division-9-round-2-zelda-vs-dk-vs

Rough match for Terra. She's probably the strongest remaining character that hasn't won a match. She used to suck, but then Dissidia waved it's magic wand and suddenly she's holding strong against Squall (even with SFF) and Kirby (even consider how LFF helped). I just can't take her over Charizard though. Charizard was a big disappointment in 2013 but it was only in comparison to his big expectations. Being even with Zelda makes him really strong, but after punking Bowser it just looked...eh, especially in a contest where Squirtle was coasting past Cloud. Problem is that Terra wouldn't have been in the match to begin with. She wouldn't have been blown out but it would've been a clean 55-45 loss, which is what I think happens to her here as well.

Who knows, though? If Pokemon experiences some big drop or whatever - which I don't think happens but it's Pokemon so yeah - then Terra gets within striking distance. There are worse wacky upsets to pick.

Result:
Terra - 45%
Charizard - 55%

Charizard has a 75% chance of winning

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Division 4 Match 4
Bowser vs. Gordon Freeman


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3832-heart-division-round-3-sora-vs-bowser
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5230-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-2-the-boss-vs-sub-zero

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5239-character-battle-ix-division-5-round-2-shadow-vs-leon-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5187-character-battle-ix-division-5-round-1-freeman-vs-hades-vs

It's been a while since we got to see Freeman lose in Round 1. Feels nostalgic, doesn't it?

Freeman is much, much more respectable than his GFNW days. He's a real midcarder now! Unfortunately, Bowser is Bowser.

Result:
Bowser - 64%
Gordon - 36%

Bowser has a 100% chance of winning

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Division 4 Match 5
Phoenix Wright vs. Chris Redfield


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5155-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-1-phoenix-vs-marth-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5229-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-2-phoenix-vs-vincent-vs

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3771-midgar-division-round-1-chris-redfield-vs-macmillan
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3814-midgar-division-round-2-cloud-strife-vs-chris-redfield

Speaking of characters that redeemed themselves, Phoenix Wright is a midcarder now and man does it feel great. He gets stronger every contest and isn't it just so fun to watch? Vincent may have dropped a ton and been pic sabotaged, but Phoenix beating him is still one of the highlights of 2013.

Chris Redfield was surprisingly good in 2010 (ranked higher than Wright in the stats) but I picked Phoenix here without a second thought. It's possible that Chris wins, but it's not 2010 anymore. Resident Evil is in a bit of a slump right now due to RE6 being bad and RE7 being mixed. RE2 is garnering hype but Chris isn't even in that game! I don't see him continuing to be popular at all, especially since I never got the impression that people liked him very much anyway. Leon was always the golden boy of that series. Conversely, Phoenix keeps getting games and ports and anime and exposure. Hard to pick again him here even if it isn't a lock.

Result:
Phoenix Wright - 55%
Chris Redfield - 45%

Phoenix Wright has a 70% chance of winning
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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