LogFAQs > #910433362

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Topic	KP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato 10/12/18 9:23:33 PM #70:	Division 5 Match 4 Zelda vs. Ezio Auditore https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3813-varia-division-round-2-zelda-vs-ezio Getting a sense of Deja Vu here. Result: Zelda - 64% Ezio - 36% Zelda has a 100% chance of winning --- Division 5 Match 5 Aloy vs. D.Va https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6945-best-of-2017-playstation-4 This match. So. On pure GameFAQs strength, I think Aloy wins. Horizon Zero Dawn did better in the GotY polls, Overwatch isn't our kind of game, and while D.Va passes the GameFAQs Front Page test, she's still just one of many Overwatch characters. She is in no way universally liked and a lot of fans simply dislike her. Could go either way but I'm going with the top option here. Unless D.Va gets rallied. There is no character more likely to blow up our contest than her. The Overwatch fanbase is huge, active, and easy to contact. I dread this match more than any other in the contest. D.Va wouldn't even need a big rally to get past Round 1, and after that...well. We know that song and dance. But this topic doesn't take major rallies into consideration, so let's plug our ears and move on! Result: Aloy - 55% D.Va - 45% Aloy has a 55% chance of winning --- Division 5 Match 6 Jill Valentine vs. Fox McCloud https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3810-varia-division-round-2-samus-aran-vs-jill-valentine https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5249-character-battle-ix-division-9-round-2-mega-man-vs-kratos-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3818-gear-division-round-2-solid-snake-vs-fox-mccloud https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5196-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-1-fox-vs-blue-vs-wolf A match between two solid midcarders. Difference is that I think Fox is one that approaches (and sometimes meets) a high midcard status, while Jill doesn't. They both did pretty good in 2010 and a little worse in 2013, but in both cases Fox still did a little better (and ranked higher in the stats). Fox is also a strangely enduring character despite the Star Fox series having been dead for like 15 years, while Jill is one of those 'fan favorite' characters that tend to be more volatile and prone to randomly dropping in strength. Fox owes a lot to being OP in Melee. Either could win this but I think it goes to Fox. It's one of those cases where if the dice falls in Jill's favor, she could come out on top, but in most cases it won't. Pick Jill if you want an upset special worth 3 points, I guess. Result: Jill Valentine - 47% Fox McCloud - 53% --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. <cite>KamikazePotato posted [p:910433362] in KP's (In-D... [t:77089574]...</cite> <quote>Division 5 Match 4 Zelda vs. Ezio Auditore https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3813-varia-division-round-2-zelda-vs-ezio Getting a sense of Deja Vu here. Result: Zelda - 64% Ezio - 36% Zelda has a 100% chance of winning --- Division 5 Match 5 Aloy vs. D.Va https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6945-best-of-2017-playstation-4 This match. So. On pure GameFAQs strength, I think Aloy wins. Horizon Zero Dawn did better in the GotY polls, Overwatch isn't our kind of game, and while D.Va passes the GameFAQs Front Page test, she's still just one of many Overwatch characters. She is in no way universally liked and a lot of fans simply dislike her. Could go either way but I'm going with the top option here. Unless D.Va gets rallied. There is no character more likely to blow up our contest than her. The Overwatch fanbase is huge, active, and easy to contact. I dread this match more than any other in the contest. D.Va wouldn't even need a big rally to get past Round 1, and after that...well. We know that song and dance. But this topic doesn't take major rallies into consideration, so let's plug our ears and move on! Result: Aloy - 55% D.Va - 45% Aloy has a 55% chance of winning --- Division 5 Match 6 Jill Valentine vs. Fox McCloud https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3810-varia-division-round-2-samus-aran-vs-jill-valentine https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5249-character-battle-ix-division-9-round-2-mega-man-vs-kratos-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3818-gear-division-round-2-solid-snake-vs-fox-mccloud https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5196-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-1-fox-vs-blue-vs-wolf A match between two solid midcarders. Difference is that I think Fox is one that approaches (and sometimes meets) a high midcard status, while Jill doesn't. They both did pretty good in 2010 and a little worse in 2013, but in both cases Fox still did a little better (and ranked higher in the stats). Fox is also a strangely enduring character despite the Star Fox series having been dead for like 15 years, while Jill is one of those 'fan favorite' characters that tend to be more volatile and prone to randomly dropping in strength. Fox owes a lot to being OP in Melee. Either could win this but I think it goes to Fox. It's one of those cases where if the dice falls in Jill's favor, she could come out on top, but in most cases it won't. Pick Jill if you want an upset special worth 3 points, I guess. Result: Jill Valentine - 47% Fox McCloud - 53% --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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