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TopicLet's discuss the bracket, match by match
Evillordexdeath
10/14/18 6:42:47 PM
#124:


Alright, boys, this is the only day I have off work until the contest starts, so we're finishing this thing today. On to round 4.

Battle 113: (4) Ganondorf vs. (2) Leon Kennedy

I think that Vivi vs. Ganondorf is the perfect example of a trap match. In 2013, they have a direct battle which suggests that Vivi should annihilate Ganon. I love Vivi, so I would be happy if that were the case, but there were so many factors in Vivi's favor then that the match is obviously worthless. Vivi was rallied then, and Ganondorf had Mario hammering him down. If that match were run in 2010, Ganon would be the heavy favorite. The X-stats project him to win with ~58%

Dante and Leon could be here just as easily. I think that the upper half's winner beats the lower half's winner every time. Dante has beaten Leon directly and Ganon is clearly a step above Leon's level. Ganondorf wins with 56%

Battle 114: (1) Zero vs. (3) Yoshi


If Pikachu is here, he has a Pokemon game getting released on match day, which certainly can't hurt. Let's hope that Yoshi can take out the rat so we don't have to see its ugly yellow mug in the Legends bracket.

As for these two, you can plug them into the X-stats for almost any year and project a win for Yoshi. He wrecks in the 2010 stats and loses in 2007's. 2013 has him winning with 50.04. I'm inclined to think that Yoshi wins it out with a little help from a "Nintendo resurgence factor," though I'm not sure he even needs anything like that. I'm not confident picking him here when I'm not even sure he can beat Pikachu, though. Yoshi wins with 52%

Battle 115: (1) Sora vs (3) Alucard


There's a tone of possible variations in this division, but I think that the top half winner takes the division final in any case. Sora/Big Boss should be more than a match for Alucard/Kefka/L-Block, so if Red can hang with those two, he shouldn't have trouble here. If it does turn out as I predicted, Sora and Alucard had a match in 2005, which Sora won with 55% of the vote. Kingdom Hearts is Light, after all, which is bad news for a vampire. Sora wins with 55%

Battle 116: (1) Bowser vs (2) Kirby


Bowser edged this one out way back in 2005. But like Pikachu, Kirby spent a long time getting stronger in these. He has some very impressive wins from the 4-ways. He beat Sonic and even Sephiroth, with Cloud sharing the poll in the latter case. Sephiroth got his revenge in 2013, but the pink ball held close enough to make himself look very good in the process. Even there, the multi-way format clearly benefited him.

One thing I notice, when looking through Kirby's history, is that all his impressive performances have come when he was not exposed to the upper-tier Nintendo characters. He can shine against Metal Gear or FF characters, and even Sonic, but he's never been able to pull off a big win against someone like Luigi or Bowser. Stick him in a poll with DK, and he loses to Kratos.

If there is such a thing as rSFF, it probably appears within the confines of the strict Nintendo hierarchy, and if Bowser even needs that, it might be the factor that gets him the win here. All things considered, I'm more confident in him out of the pair of them. The dum pink ball loses with 48%
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