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TopicKP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato
10/15/18 7:43:43 PM
#272:


Division 3 Match 9
Sora vs. Pokemon Trainer Red


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3832-heart-division-round-3-sora-vs-bowser
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5258-character-battle-ix-division-6-final-pikachu-vs-sora-vs-blue

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5248-character-battle-ix-division-8-round-2-wario-vs-red-vs-wrex
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5264-character-battle-ix-final-nine-samus-vs-red-vs-mega-man

This match is dangerous. Red went from going even with Ocelot in 2010 to activating beast mode in 2013. Wario may suck but 70-30ing him is really good, and look at how well he held up against Noble Niners. Meanwhile, Sora's recent claims to fame are getting punked by Bowser in a match that was supposed to be competitive, and losing to Pikachu with Pokemon Trainer Blue in the poll. That second result is just embarrassing, PokeFEAR or otherwise. Charizard got laughed at failing in a similar way, and for good reason. When you're handed an LFF victory and don't take it, you're not going to live it down for a while.

Seriously, look at how Red did in those matches. Even his Round 1 is really good:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5213-character-battle-ix-division-8-round-1-red-vs-corvo-vs

He faced fodder but getting 70% on two opponents is extremely difficult no matter how strong you are. Unlike Squirtle or Mewtwo, who needed a round or two to get going before they started going nuts, Red was killing it from the start. And to put things fully in perspective:

Sora (2013c) has a strength of 33.55 against Base Link.
Pokemon Trainer Red (2013c) has a strength of 35.52 against Base Link.
Sora47.23%
Pokemon Trainer Red52.77%
Pokemon Trainer Red wins with 52.77% of the vote!

Yup. But...with all that said, I find it difficult to go with Red even though he looked legitimately stronger in 2013. I subscribe to the theory that Pokemon is going to be less crazy than it was in 2013. I don't have a major reason for thinking so, I just get the impression that Pokemon is in a hype downswing phase due to not having anything big on the horizon (lol Let's Go Pikachu) while Sora has Kingdom Hearts 3 finally, finally within his sights. Those two things combined is enough to swing the match the other way, I think, as both characters have risen and fallen in strength rather dramatically in accordance to the state of their respective series.

Be careful when considering this match. It's worth a lot of point. Spoilers: I think whoever wins here wins the division.

Result:
Sora - 52%
Red - 48%

Sora has a 55% chance of winning

--

Division 3 Match 10
Cevil vs. Big Boss


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5214-character-battle-ix-division-8-round-1-pit-vs-wrex-vs-cecil
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5232-character-battle-ix-division-3-round-2-luigi-vs-big-boss-vs

Hope you're happy to be here, Cecil. Assuming you won in Round 1. Which you might not have.

Result:
Cecil - 32%
Big Boss - 68%

Big Boss has a 100% chance of winning
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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