LogFAQs > #910596270

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TopicKP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato
10/15/18 9:53:00 PM
#305:


Division 4 Match 9
2B vs. Shadow/Ness


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6945-best-of-2017-playstation-4
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5239-character-battle-ix-division-5-round-2-shadow-vs-leon-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5166-character-battle-ix-division-3-round-1-cats-vs-ness-vs-locke

I think this is where 2B's 1 Seed is exposed for the lie that it is. Didn't take very long! Simply put, Ness and Shadow are low-midcard to mid-midcard level depending on how weird they're feeling that day, and I just don't think 2B reaches that level. A good character design only goes so far when GameFAQs just hasn't played your game. Considering the site demographics, GameFAQs latched onto Nier a lot less than the rest of the internet did. It didn't do particularly well in playrates or the GotY polls.

She can still win though, simply because Ness/Shadow aren't that great. But they have results, and 2B is just too untested for me to go with her. She'll come close, and could very easily end up winning if she exceeds my expectations even by a little bit, but it's very difficult for new characters to have legitimate strength on GameFAQs and I don't think 2B will be one of the exceptions.

Result:
Ness/Shadow - 52%
2B - 48%

Ness/Shadow have a 60% chance of winning

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Division 4 Match 10
Charizard vs. Bowser


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3845-heart-division-final-bowser-vs-charizard
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5251-character-battle-ix-division-9-round-2-zelda-vs-dk-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3832-heart-division-round-3-sora-vs-bowser

This match will be a referendum on how bandwagon strength doesn't last. It's easy to look at the Charizard/Bowser result in 2010 and then wonder why Allen even set up this rematch in the first place, buuut then Charizard almost lost to Zelda. Now, make no mistake. Zelda is a strong character. She's very much an elite. But I don't think she's quite at Bowser's level, and honestly, I would bet that if you Charizard loses to Zelda if you remove DK from the match. Pokemon overlaps with Nintendo a little less than other Nintendo properties. His result against Mega Man was even worse. As I said before; losing a match where you have a big LFF advantage is tough to live down.

On the other hand, Bowser is...Bowser. He's always been strong and always will be. Losing to a steroid Mewtwo benefiting from Undertale spillover isn't something people are going to hold against him. He has no reason to drop and who knows, maybe Mario Galaxy boost him a bit. I doubt it though. It's Bowser. You know your opinion on Bowser by now.

I'm going to make a bit of a statement: I think Bowser is the clear favorite here. Charizard's bandwagon strength is probably entirely gone by now, Pokemon is probably quite as strong as it was in 2013, and he was already under Bowser in the 2013 x-stats to begin with. Charizard might still clinch the victory with Pokemon Bullshit (tm) but I think he needs that to clinch the victory. Otherwise, the superior Fire type is going to get his revenge, and it's a dish best served hot.

Result:
Bowser - 53%
Charizard - 47%

Bowser has a 70% chance of winning
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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