LogFAQs > #910597574

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Topic	KP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato 10/15/18 10:16:15 PM #314:	Division 4 Match 11 Phoenix Wright vs. Ike https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5155-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-1-phoenix-vs-marth-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5229-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-2-phoenix-vs-vincent-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3803-mushroom-division-round-2-zidane-tribal-vs-ike https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5174-character-battle-ix-division-4-round-1-ike-vs-proto-man-vs Phoenix Wright (2013c) has a strength of 27.49 against Base Link. Ike (2013c) has a strength of 27.86 against Base Link. Phoenix Wright49.34% Ike50.66% Ike wins with 50.66% of the vote Tough one to call. Ike and Phoenix looked about even in 2013 (Ike was stronger in 2010 but Wright has boosted since then). Ike is generally considered to be a half-step above Marth, and Phoenix also proved himself to be at least a half-step above Marth. I think this match, one way or another, is in Phoenix's hands. Ike has been pretty consistent since his debut. He might get a small boost this contest thanks to Smash Ultimate coming out soon and him begin prominently featured in Fire Emblem Heroes, but it wouldn't be anything major. On the other hand, Phoenix has been on a constant upward trend since his very first appearance. Beating Marth in a completely fair setting (Nightmare wasn't doing much to taint that poll) was when he finally became a character that can win important matches on his own terms. Kind of fits his personal in-game growth! Anyway, if Phoenix continues this upward trend, he wins. It's close enough that even a small boost would swing things. I have the feeling that he's mostly hit his ceiling though. It's not like characters can keep boosting forever without cause. Wright kept getting more and more exposure with tons of ports, an anime, and an Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3 appearance, and it did a lot for him. Since then, while the series has kept getting ports, more anime, and even a new game, the general feeling I get is that the Ace Attorney series is in a lull right now. Not a slump per se, it's just that nothing big is happening at the moment. There's nothing on the immediate horizon to get hyped about. With all that said - I'm betting on Phoenix for the simple reason that I think his fans care more. Our votals are going to be extremely low to the point where the board vote matters. The hardcore fans matter. There's no one this will matter for more than Phoenix Wright, who is the ultimate B8 darling. It won't be a huge effect, but in a match like this, every bit matters. Result: Phoenix Wright - 51% Ike - 49% Phoenix Wright has a 60% chance of winning -- Division 4 Match 12 Isaac vs. Kirby https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3808-heart-division-round-2-l-block-vs-isaac https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5255-character-battle-ix-division-3-final-sephiroth-vs-big-boss Hiiiiiiii~ Result: Kirby - 68% Isaac - 32% Kirby has a 100% chance of winning --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. <cite>KamikazePotato posted [p:910597574] in KP's (In-D... [t:77089574]...</cite> <quote>Division 4 Match 11 Phoenix Wright vs. Ike https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5155-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-1-phoenix-vs-marth-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5229-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-2-phoenix-vs-vincent-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3803-mushroom-division-round-2-zidane-tribal-vs-ike https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5174-character-battle-ix-division-4-round-1-ike-vs-proto-man-vs Phoenix Wright (2013c) has a strength of 27.49 against Base Link. Ike (2013c) has a strength of 27.86 against Base Link. Phoenix Wright49.34% Ike50.66% Ike wins with 50.66% of the vote Tough one to call. Ike and Phoenix looked about even in 2013 (Ike was stronger in 2010 but Wright has boosted since then). Ike is generally considered to be a half-step above Marth, and Phoenix also proved himself to be at least a half-step above Marth. I think this match, one way or another, is in Phoenix's hands. Ike has been pretty consistent since his debut. He might get a small boost this contest thanks to Smash Ultimate coming out soon and him begin prominently featured in Fire Emblem Heroes, but it wouldn't be anything major. On the other hand, Phoenix has been on a constant upward trend since his very first appearance. Beating Marth in a completely fair setting (Nightmare wasn't doing much to taint that poll) was when he finally became a character that can win important matches on his own terms. Kind of fits his personal in-game growth! Anyway, if Phoenix continues this upward trend, he wins. It's close enough that even a small boost would swing things. I have the feeling that he's mostly hit his ceiling though. It's not like characters can keep boosting forever without cause. Wright kept getting more and more exposure with tons of ports, an anime, and an Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3 appearance, and it did a lot for him. Since then, while the series has kept getting ports, more anime, and even a new game, the general feeling I get is that the Ace Attorney series is in a lull right now. Not a slump per se, it's just that nothing big is happening at the moment. There's nothing on the immediate horizon to get hyped about. With all that said - I'm betting on Phoenix for the simple reason that I think his fans care more. Our votals are going to be extremely low to the point where the board vote matters. The hardcore fans matter. There's no one this will matter for more than Phoenix Wright, who is the ultimate B8 darling. It won't be a huge effect, but in a match like this, every bit matters. Result: Phoenix Wright - 51% Ike - 49% Phoenix Wright has a 60% chance of winning -- Division 4 Match 12 Isaac vs. Kirby https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3808-heart-division-round-2-l-block-vs-isaac https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5255-character-battle-ix-division-3-final-sephiroth-vs-big-boss Hiiiiiiii~ Result: Kirby - 68% Isaac - 32% Kirby has a 100% chance of winning --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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