LogFAQs > #910657904

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Topic	KP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato 10/16/18 10:45:11 PM #349:	Division 7 Match 9 Luigi vs. Frog https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5232-character-battle-ix-division-3-round-2-luigi-vs-big-boss-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3757-heart-division-round-1-bowser-vs-frog Yeah, blasting Frog's theme in the 11th hour only goes so far. Result: Luigi - 64% Frog - 36% -- Division 7 Match 10 Master Chief vs. Nathan Drake https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3805-mushroom-division-round-2-ryu-hayabusa-vs-master-chief https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5204-character-battle-ix-division-7-round-1-chief-vs-yuna-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5195-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-1-drake-vs-steve-vs-pac https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5242-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-2-mr-game-vs-drake-vs Master Chief (2013c) has a strength of 25.05 against Base Link. Nathan Drake (2013c) has a strength of 24.32 against Base Link. Master Chief51.46% Nathan Drake48.54% Master Chief wins with 51.46% of the vote! Screw this match, man. Master Chief in a match where he has the advantage - but not enough of the advantage to make it shutout - tends to end really poorly for him. Frog. Sub-Zero. Hayabusa. Yuna (in 2013). Chief had some good four-way years that were empowered by GAME FUEL, and outside of that he's done nothing but disappoint. He basically invented the concept of the anti-vote in our contests. Now, that's not to say Nathan Drake is amazing. Drake's best year was easily 2013 and that still only made him a little stronger than Pac-man. That was back when Uncharted was current and hyped. Uncharted 3 had come out a few years ago and Uncharted 4 was on the horizon. For a lot of western characters, that period of hype will always be their strongest time. Drake might avoid that, but there's definitely precedent to say he falls off. Where does that leave Master Chief, though? He's in the same boat. You could say that Master Chief in 2013 was already post-hype Chief, and so he doesn't have any farther to fall, but I disagree. If Master Chief had the good sense to end on a high note with Halo 3, then he might have become a nostalgic character for GameFAQs. Unfortunately he decided to release a bunch of unimpressive sequels no one cared about, which will do nothing to boost himself (and his series) AND puts a damper on the nostalgia factor. Halo used to be the biggest FPS deal there was. Now it's just another shooter on a market, and it's not even close to being top dog. Matches like these suck because it's about you trying to figure out who loses rather than who wins. I think that - in the end - Drake will have a bit of better staying power simply because he's an actual character. Lots of WESTERN HYPE characters fall off because no one gives a crap about them. You think anyone on GameFAQs actually liked Kratos? People like Drake though, a lot more than they like Chief. That helps. He probably drops a bit but nowhere near to the extent that Chief did after people ran out of GAME FUEL. And lastly, but most importantly of all, you don't bet on Chief in 1 v 1s unless you want to feel stupid. For the record? MC absolutely has the advantage in this match. He's just a bit stronger. He's supposed to be a bit stronger. And that's why he'll lose. If he wanted to win, he should've been the overwhelming favorite instead of a minor favorite. Result: Master Chief - 49% Nathan Drake - 51% Nathan Drake has a 40%* chance of winning Probability not adjusted for Master Chief's choking tendencies --- Black Turtle* did a pretty good job. <cite>KamikazePotato posted [p:910657904] in KP's (In-D... [t:77089574]...</cite> <quote>Division 7 Match 9 Luigi vs. Frog https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5232-character-battle-ix-division-3-round-2-luigi-vs-big-boss-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3757-heart-division-round-1-bowser-vs-frog Yeah, blasting Frog's theme in the 11th hour only goes so far. Result: Luigi - 64% Frog - 36% -- Division 7 Match 10 Master Chief vs. Nathan Drake https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3805-mushroom-division-round-2-ryu-hayabusa-vs-master-chief https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5204-character-battle-ix-division-7-round-1-chief-vs-yuna-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5195-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-1-drake-vs-steve-vs-pac https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5242-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-2-mr-game-vs-drake-vs Master Chief (2013c) has a strength of 25.05 against Base Link. Nathan Drake (2013c) has a strength of 24.32 against Base Link. Master Chief51.46% Nathan Drake48.54% Master Chief wins with 51.46% of the vote! Screw this match, man. Master Chief in a match where he has the advantage - but not enough of the advantage to make it shutout - tends to end really poorly for him. Frog. Sub-Zero. Hayabusa. Yuna (in 2013). Chief had some good four-way years that were empowered by GAME FUEL, and outside of that he's done nothing but disappoint. He basically invented the concept of the anti-vote in our contests. Now, that's not to say Nathan Drake is amazing. Drake's best year was easily 2013 and that still only made him a little stronger than Pac-man. That was back when Uncharted was current and hyped. Uncharted 3 had come out a few years ago and Uncharted 4 was on the horizon. For a lot of western characters, that period of hype will always be their strongest time. Drake might avoid that, but there's definitely precedent to say he falls off. Where does that leave Master Chief, though? He's in the same boat. You could say that Master Chief in 2013 was already post-hype Chief, and so he doesn't have any farther to fall, but I disagree. If Master Chief had the good sense to end on a high note with Halo 3, then he might have become a nostalgic character for GameFAQs. Unfortunately he decided to release a bunch of unimpressive sequels no one cared about, which will do nothing to boost himself (and his series) AND puts a damper on the nostalgia factor. Halo used to be the biggest FPS deal there was. Now it's just another shooter on a market, and it's not even close to being top dog. Matches like these suck because it's about you trying to figure out who loses rather than who wins. I think that - in the end - Drake will have a bit of better staying power simply because he's an actual character. Lots of WESTERN HYPE characters fall off because no one gives a crap about them. You think anyone on GameFAQs actually liked Kratos? People like Drake though, a lot more than they like Chief. That helps. He probably drops a bit but nowhere near to the extent that Chief did after people ran out of GAME FUEL. And lastly, but most importantly of all, you don't bet on Chief in 1 v 1s unless you want to feel stupid. For the record? MC absolutely has the advantage in this match. He's just a bit stronger. He's supposed to be a bit stronger. And that's why he'll lose. If he wanted to win, he should've been the overwhelming favorite instead of a minor favorite. Result: Master Chief - 49% Nathan Drake - 51% Nathan Drake has a 40%* chance of winning *Probability not adjusted for Master Chief's choking tendencies --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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