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TopicKP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato
10/17/18 7:19:50 PM
#381:


Division 5 Match 13
Squall vs. Zelda


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3785-gear-division-round-1-squall-vs-akuma
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3839-gear-division-round-3-auron-vs-squall
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3848-gear-division-final-solid-snake-vs-squall

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3813-varia-division-round-2-zelda-vs-ezio
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5251-character-battle-ix-division-9-round-2-zelda-vs-dk-vs

It isn't outside the realm of possibility for Zelda to win this. If you're looking for a sexy upset pick that's worth a decent amount of points, because the winner of this is winning the division (oops spoiler), there's worse ones to pick than this. FF8 looked off last contest and that doesn't imply good things for him. Zelda is riding high off of Breath of the Wild where she had by far the most story screentime she's had in the series so far, giving her a legitimate character and everything, so that can only help. The gap between these two is probably closing.

I think it's too much of a difference to make up though. Squall has historically been one of those "please put me against a weak Noble Niner I swear I will upset them" characters while Zelda has just been a 'normal' elite-level character. I'll bank on familiarity in this case.

Result:
Squall - 53%
Zelda - 47%

Squall has an 80% chance of winning

--

Division 5 Match 14
Fox vs. Aerith


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3779-gear-division-round-1-lloyd-irving-vs-fox-mccloud
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3818-gear-division-round-2-solid-snake-vs-fox-mccloud
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5196-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-1-fox-vs-blue-vs-wolf

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3782-gear-division-round-1-auron-vs-aerith
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5226-character-battle-ix-division-1-round-2-shepard-vs-tharja-vs

Aerith has managed to avoid most of the FF7 decline by also having tits. Unfortunately, her tits are smaller than Tifa's, so she's always been a lot weaker. Fox McCloud has never been given the chance to make a big upset, so he's somewhat undervalued among contest brackmakers, but he's got a good amount of strength too. Actually...

Aeris (2013c) has a strength of 31.01 against Base Link.
Fox (2013c) has a strength of 30.67 against Base Link.
Aeris50.55%
Fox49.45%
Aeris wins with 50.55% of the vote!

Huuuuh.

Yeah, I'm labeling this one as a coinflip. There's not really a good reason to pick one over the other. They look close in strength and neither have a particular reason to boost or fall. Go with your gut! I'll pick Fox because...sure.

Result:
Fox - 51%
Aerith - 49%

Fox has a 50% chance of winning
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
... Copied to Clipboard!
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