LogFAQs > #910706161

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Topic	KP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato 10/17/18 7:35:26 PM #382:	Division 6 Match 13 Geralt/Ryu Hayabusa vs. Riku https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6205-best-of-2015-game-of-the-year-final-vote https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3805-mushroom-division-round-2-ryu-hayabusa-vs-master-chief https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5178-character-battle-ix-division-4-round-1-kefka-vs-zack-vs-ryu https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3815-midgar-division-round-2-riku-vs-captain-falcon https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5223-character-battle-ix-division-9-round-1-charizard-vs-riku-vs This one's a headache. Let's look at Hayabusa vs. Riku first. I don't know if this potential matchup was coincidence or not, but these two have a bit of history with each other from back in the ancient era of 2007: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2890-division-7-round-1-haseo-riku-roxas-ryu-h https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2908-division-7-round-2-solid-snake-nightmare-ryu-h-riku The change in results between rounds puzzled us so much at the time and became one of the prime examples of how weird 4-ways can be. It wasn't until next year where Hayabusa fought Snake for the second time, and collapsed in a similar way, that we realized that people don't actually care about Hayabusa and he they voted for someone cooler when the moment arose. So yeah, back then it's hard to say that Hayabusa wasn't stronger than Riku. That was 11 years ago. Since then, Hayabusa has got jack and Riku has actually been in games - even if they were spinoffs - and has KH3 on the horizon. I've mentioned this before, but I have no faith in a character like Hayabusa continuing to retain his strength over the long term. Even if Riku doesn't boost, it's unlikely he falls. Also...Riku was actually higher in the 2013 and 2010 stats already..sooooo... Result: Ryu Hayabusa - 46% Riku - 54% Riku has a 65% chance of winning ...But what if Geralt is here? Result: Geralt - 53% Riku - 47% Geralt has a 60% chance of winning Yeah, so, here's the thing. If you have Geralt here, you need to keep picking him. While he might disappoint and not beat Hayabusa, if he does, it's likely that he's at least some level of legit. There's wiggle room for Riku>Geralt>Hayabusa, but if Geralt gets here I'm more inclined to think he just keeps winning due to his naturally higher strength ceiling than Riku. -- Division 6 Match 14 Auron vs. Sub-Zero https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3820-gear-division-round-2-auron-vs-zero https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3839-gear-division-round-3-auron-vs-squall https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3834-varia-division-round-3-samus-aran-vs-sub-zero https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5230-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-2-the-boss-vs-sub-zero It's nice to have to have breather matches. Result: Auron - 59% Sub-Zero - 41% Auron has a 100% chance of winning --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. <cite>KamikazePotato posted [p:910706161] in KP's (In-D... [t:77089574]...</cite> <quote>Division 6 Match 13 Geralt/Ryu Hayabusa vs. Riku https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6205-best-of-2015-game-of-the-year-final-vote https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3805-mushroom-division-round-2-ryu-hayabusa-vs-master-chief https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5178-character-battle-ix-division-4-round-1-kefka-vs-zack-vs-ryu https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3815-midgar-division-round-2-riku-vs-captain-falcon https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5223-character-battle-ix-division-9-round-1-charizard-vs-riku-vs This one's a headache. Let's look at Hayabusa vs. Riku first. I don't know if this potential matchup was coincidence or not, but these two have a bit of history with each other from back in the ancient era of 2007: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2890-division-7-round-1-haseo-riku-roxas-ryu-h https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2908-division-7-round-2-solid-snake-nightmare-ryu-h-riku The change in results between rounds puzzled us so much at the time and became one of the prime examples of how weird 4-ways can be. It wasn't until next year where Hayabusa fought Snake for the second time, and collapsed in a similar way, that we realized that people don't actually care about Hayabusa and he they voted for someone cooler when the moment arose. So yeah, back then it's hard to say that Hayabusa wasn't stronger than Riku. That was 11 years ago. Since then, Hayabusa has got jack and Riku has actually been in games - even if they were spinoffs - and has KH3 on the horizon. I've mentioned this before, but I have no faith in a character like Hayabusa continuing to retain his strength over the long term. Even if Riku doesn't boost, it's unlikely he falls. Also...Riku was actually higher in the 2013 and 2010 stats already..sooooo... Result: Ryu Hayabusa - 46% Riku - 54% Riku has a 65% chance of winning ...But what if Geralt is here? Result: Geralt - 53% Riku - 47% Geralt has a 60% chance of winning Yeah, so, here's the thing. If you have Geralt here, you need to keep picking him. While he might disappoint and not beat Hayabusa, if he does, it's likely that he's at least some level of legit. There's wiggle room for Riku>Geralt>Hayabusa, but if Geralt gets here I'm more inclined to think he just keeps winning due to his naturally higher strength ceiling than Riku. -- Division 6 Match 14 Auron vs. Sub-Zero https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3820-gear-division-round-2-auron-vs-zero https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3839-gear-division-round-3-auron-vs-squall https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3834-varia-division-round-3-samus-aran-vs-sub-zero https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5230-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-2-the-boss-vs-sub-zero It's nice to have to have breather matches. Result: Auron - 59% Sub-Zero - 41% Auron has a 100% chance of winning --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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