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TopicKP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato
10/17/18 8:28:27 PM
#390:


Division 5 Match 15
Squall vs. Fox/Aerith


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3839-gear-division-round-3-auron-vs-squall
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3782-gear-division-round-1-auron-vs-aerith

Yeah

Result:
Squall - 58%
Fox/Aerith - 42%

Squall has a 100% chance of winning

--

Division 6 Match 15
Geralt/Hayabusa/Riku vs. Auron


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3805-mushroom-division-round-2-ryu-hayabusa-vs-master-chief
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3815-midgar-division-round-2-riku-vs-captain-falcon

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3839-gear-division-round-3-auron-vs-squall

Yeeeah

Auron - 61%
Geralt/Hayabusa/Riku - 39%

Auron has a 100% chance of winning

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Division 7 Match 15
Luigi vs. Tifa


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3796-hyrule-division-round-2-luigi-vs-amaterasu
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5232-character-battle-ix-division-3-round-2-luigi-vs-big-boss-vs

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3849-jenova-division-final-sephiroth-vs-tifa-lockheart
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5259-character-battle-ix-division-7-final-samus-vs-l-block-vs

So this happened in 2015:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2111-chaos-division-round-2-tifa-lockheart-vs-luigi

I've discussed these characters (mostly Tifa) a lot, so in the interest of not retreading the same points when I have more stuff to write, I'll keep it brief. That result in 2005 has no reason to change much, if at all. If anything - based on recent results - the difference would be even bigger. You have to hope for a big Tifa drop for Luigi to win, and I don't think that happens.

Result:
Tifa - 54%
Luigi - 46%

Tifa has an 80% chance of winning

--

Division 8 Match 15
Sephiroth vs. Ryu


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3853-final-rounds-quarterfinal-solid-snake-vs-sephiroth
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5255-character-battle-ix-division-3-final-sephiroth-vs-big-boss

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3817-midgar-division-round-2-ryu-vs-dante
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3847-midgar-division-final-cloud-strife-vs-ryu

The answer lies...in the heart of battle.

Sephiroth (2013c) has a strength of 38.89 against Base Link.
Ryu (2013c) has a strength of 32.50 against Base Link.
Sephiroth58.22%
Ryu41.78%
Sephiroth wins with 58.22% of the vote!

Oops. Turns out that the answer is that Ryu loses. He has never looked even close to Sephiroth's level and probably never will be. It's that simple. Sephiroth needs to drop a LOT, like even more than he did from 2010->2013.

Sephiroth has a 100% chance of winning
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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