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TopicKP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato
10/17/18 8:43:41 PM
#391:


Finals Division Match 1
Dante vs. Link


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3817-midgar-division-round-2-ryu-vs-dante
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5238-character-battle-ix-division-5-round-2-dante-vs-squirtle-vs

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5267-character-battle-ix-bonus-battle-4-link-vs-solid-snake

This is Link - who is already the de facto pick to win every Character Battle ever - after Breath of the World.

Stop, Link. Stop. He's already dead.

Result:
Link - 69%
Dante - 31%

Link has a 100% chance of winning

--

Finals Division Match 2
Mega Man vs. Pikachu


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5265-character-battle-ix-bonus-battle-3-runners-up-battle

That match is pretty much all you need to look at. Pikachu did very well for himself in 2013. Might have been naturally stronger than Crono! But Crono is a bit of a has-been and doesn't compare to Mega Man these days. Mega Man almost beat Pikachu and Mewtwo combined and that's very hard to ignore. Even at Pikachu's absolute best, he still didn't measure up to Mega Man, and it's very possible he doesn't reach his 2013 levels of Pokefear to begin with. Pikachu still has a chance but it's based entirely on Pokemon Bullshit(tm) always being a possibility.

Mega Man - 53%
Pikachu - 47%

Mega Man has an 80% chance of winning

--

Finals Division Match 3
Cloud Strife vs. Sora


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5257-character-battle-ix-division-5-final-cloud-vs-squirtle-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5258-character-battle-ix-division-6-final-pikachu-vs-sora-vs-blue

Sorry, Sora, but I'm going to post that Pikachu match one more time. Because losing to a heavily rallied Pokemon is very different from losing to a Pokemon with another Pokemon character in the same poll.

Cloud - 57%
Sora - 43%

Cloud has a 100% chance of winning

--

Finals Division Match 4
Crono vs. Kirby


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5240-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-2-crono-vs-pikachu-vs

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3843-chaos-division-final-sonic-vs-kirby
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5255-character-battle-ix-division-3-final-sephiroth-vs-big-boss

Poor Crono. He's gotten punked by random Nintendo characters two contests in a row. Can he go 3 for 3???

Jokes aside, the answer is no. Unlike Missingno and Pikachu, Kirby is a known quantity and simply has never been as strong as Crono (or Pikachu in 2010/2013). Crono is past his prime but he's not that far behind from, say, Sonic. Definitely not as far behind as Kirby was in 2010. And while he looked around even to Pikachu in 2013, Pikachu would absolutely have beaten Kirby, so...yeah. If nothing else, Chrono Trigger busted heads in the 2015 Games Contest so it's hard to imagine Crono drops anymore than he already has.

Of course, if Kirby gets some dumb rally, all bets are off. Crono is impossible to rally for because his entire fanbase is already on GameFAQs.

Result:
Crono - 54%
Kirby - 46%

Crono has an 80% chance of winning
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
... Copied to Clipboard!
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