LogFAQs > #910712039

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TopicKP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato
10/17/18 9:35:20 PM
#395:


Finals Division Match 13
Link vs. Crono


Link

He Come To Town

Then He Come

On Everyone Else

Result:
Link - wins
Crono - ouch

Link has a 100% chance of winning

--

Finals Division Match 14
Snake vs. Mario


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3802-mushroom-division-round-2-mario-vs-big-boss
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5206-character-battle-ix-division-8-round-1-mario-vs-duke-vs

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5234-character-battle-ix-division-4-round-2-solid-snake-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5263-character-battle-ix-final-nine-solid-snake-vs-squirtle-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5267-character-battle-ix-bonus-battle-4-link-vs-solid-snake

Welcome to the last real (non-Losers) match in the bracket! This one has been a long time coming. Snake has been the rising star of GameFAQs Contests for a long time. He went from being the clear weak link of the Noble Nine to being the potential #2. But before he can make that claim to fame, there's another character staking a claim to that position.

Mario was the #4 character on this site for a long time. Link/Cloud/Sephiroth were untouchable, but Mario himself was a clear step ahead of everyone else. Samus was the only one who even came close to his intrinsic strength, and the HIERARCHY meant that if they ever actually fought 1 v 1, she got wrecked. Sonic, Mega Man, Samus, Solid Snake, Crono - none of them had any chance of beating Mario ever since like, 2005. It made sense. He's Mr. Nintendo. The most known and beloved game character in the world. And even getting blindsided by a rally doesn't change that (for the record, he still SFFd Ganondorf into the dirt in that match).

But then things started to change. Link, Cloud, and Sephiroth all weakened. Link didn't weaken to the point where he could be realistically beaten in a 1 v 1 setting, but Cloud and Sephiroth...? Well, we've discussed them. Samus, Sonic, Mega Man, and Crono didn't rise above their old strength. If anything, they had more low points than high. But then there was Snake, who got announced for Brawl and has been on a tear ever since. MGS4 seemed to boost him even more, and then in 2010->2013 he seemed to get even stronger because why not? People love Snake.

I could just say this is a coinflip match and leave it at that, but I think a match worth this many points deserves more of a statement from me. I think that if you want to maximize your chances of winning, you should pick Mario. Snake hasn't had anything new in a while (and never will, RIP). His biggest recent exposure is his return to Smash Bros Ultimate, which...actually was a really cool reveal that a lot of people marked out over. It's hard to say that it compares to Mario Odyssey being an extremely well-received game, though. The only reason that game didn't sweep 2017 GotY awards is because Breath of the Wild existed. When you look at who has reason to grow...I think Mario has a little more.

But I'm taking Snake, because fuck it. It's Snake. I'm not not banking on him. Snake gets stronger even when he doesn't have any reason to. He's so beloved that his series being assassinated by Konami just made people realize how much they're going to miss him. Snake is so awesome that Samus' voice actress rallied against Samus and for Snake in a match they shared. He's always overcome adversity AND BY GAWD HE'LL DO IT AGAIN.

Result:
Solid Snake - 51%
Mario - 49%

Solid Snake has a 45% chance of winning

--

FINAL MATCH!!!!
Link vs. Snake


We go from an interesting match

To this

Woo

Game Over. Return of Link
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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