LogFAQs > #910842998

Hey everybody!

I thought it would be fun to do some quick post-match analyses of each match in the contest as they happen. The purpose of this is not to do a full super-lengthy analysis like others do post-contest, but just a few quick and simple paragraphs about what happened and what it means for future matches. I couldn't for the first matches, but I will try to do these right as the matches end in the future, as quickly as possible.

Let's begin!

Day 1, Match 1 - Dante vs. Cuphead
(1) Dante: 71.59% - (16) Cuphead: 28.41%

What happened?: This was a fairly standard, easy to predict 1 vs. 16 blowout. The only remarkable thing about it is that Cuphead beat expectations, avoiding a tripling and even getting up to just below 30% during the Early Night Vote. Dante did better with registered users, though the prediction percentage was perhaps a bit lower than you might think with 81.71% choosing Dante.

What could this mean?: That Cuphead was thoroughly under-seeded mainly. It's not surprising that he overperformed the board's expectations and his seed, his game destroyed two GotY polls (it even quadrupled a well-liked Assassin's Creed game) and came third in the final poll. Some people are nervous about Dante vs. Ganondorf or even vs. Lightning from this, but this specific match isn't cause to be I think. Just that Cuphead deserved a better match-up, and hopefully will get one in the future. I also feel better about Shovel Knight thanks to this performance, as the most comparable character in the bracket to Cuphead.

Day 1, Match 2 - Lightning vs. Chloe Price
(8) Lightning: 74.19% - (9) Chloe Price: 25.81%

What happened?: A blowout most people expected, for an 8 vs. 9 match the prediction percentage was a huge 80.74%. I was a little cautious on this one due to distrusting Lightning and wondering if Life is Strange had gained popularity. Obviously I was wrong. Trend-wise Lightning had an awful board vote, but then gradually increased before stabilising at 74% around the halfway point.

What could this mean?: That Life is Strange is garbo on here. And Chloe might not even have the support of fans of that. Even the prediction percentages showed it. Lightning might be better than expected after her awful 2013 showing, but it is too early to say. How she holds up against Dante is the real test of this. Chloe is probably a bottom 5 character, almost certainly bottom 10. She'd certainly get destroyed by Cuphead so I think Dante will clear Lightning easily, 60-40 or more.

I will get to the next two later today. As I have more time later, hopefully I'll be able to get slightly more detailed. Enjoy!
---

I just decided to change this sig.
Blaaaaaaargh BKSheikah