LogFAQs > #911204590

A lot to unpack with this day.

Day 7, Match 1 - 2B vs. Cayde-6
(1) 2B: 77.8% - (16) Cayde-6: 22.2%

What happened?: 2B smash fodder. Cayde-6 is a lot of people's pick for the weakest character in the contest and it's easy to see why (though Majima hasn't been yet). 2B started this match extremely high, over 85% in the board vote, then well over 80% for much of the match, getting the highest margins of the entire contest for much of its duration. The beatdown calmed down a lot after the first few hours though and 2B dropped to around 78% - nearly a 4% drop which is sizeable, even bigger than Pikachu over Scorpion. This was nearly the biggest victory of the contest, but Ganondorf vs. Neku still has it, which is kind of a disappointment - however strong 2B really is, it would be great to say "2B won with the biggest margin of any character in CBX" .

What could this mean?: Unsurprisingly, Cayde-6 is really, really weak. I would caution against calling him Tanner though. Tanner was a special confluence of nobody knowing or caring about him or his games, and looking like some nobody to boot. Cayde-6 is from games people have played even if they are very weak and at least has a good design. We'll never see a "natural" (i.e. not somebody B8 rallied in to deliberately top Tanner) Tanner again, the closest was probably Nathan Hale and he would double Tanner! As for 2B, without knowing exactly how weak Cayde-6 is, it's hard to get a good read but she didn't fall on her face. You don't get nearly 80% from random apathy voting, so she is at least recognisable enough to get those votes. I know 2B's seed was inflated by the NRT win but given how much of Nier Automata's marketing was centred around her, it's hard to see her lower than a 2 or a 3. My expectation now is a decent midcarder, but her true strength is hidden by facing an unknown weakling. Lastly, with the trends, it's hard to say if 2B is frontloaded, Cayde-6 does better at night, or that kind of beatdown is just hard to keep up, but it's probably a bit of both. I think 2B looks good to beat Ness, but I can't say it with confidence.

Day 7, Match 2 - Shadow the Hedgehog vs. Ness
(8) Shadow: 46.74% - (9) Ness: 53.36%

What happened?: This was a fairly debated match, but it didn't really need to be - Ness has looked at worst very slightly above Shadow and it would only take a small shift to Nintendo to make this one his. Shadow kept it close however, not letting Ness pull away too much after his early lead, and resulting in a match that got closer and closer as the match went on. This just further highlights the new frontloaded nature of Nintendo, though in this case it was exacerbated by Europe where Sonic is good and Earthbound is weaker. To be fair, Ness did seem to do better in Europe than he usually does, likely helped by his game actually being out there now (finally).

What could this mean?: Not too much. Ness looked more or less to par here. Shadow has obviously fallen a lot from his 45% on Mario days but hey, at least he ain't falling further. Despite being a fairly close match this match didn't give us much. Ness would have needed to beat Shadow very easily to look like a clear favourite against 2B, but it's hard to say the odds are stacked against him either.
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I just decided to change this sig.
Blaaaaaaargh BKSheikah