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Topic~Lightning Strikes's CBX Snap Analysis~
Lightning Strikes
10/27/18 7:27:23 PM
#82:


Hmm we seem to be doing one boring day one exciting day on and off...

Day 8, Match 1 - Phoenix Wright vs. Chris Redfield
(3) Phoenix: 56.93% - (14) Chris: 43.07%

What happened?: For a long time Phoenix and Chris Redfield have been in a similar ballpark. But as Phoenix's series and exposure have risen, so have his strength. He also benefits a lot from the more focused GameFAQs audience these days. He's legit good now. Chris somehow missed CBIX entirely despite its massive roster, and probably weakened a fair bit before climbing back up. Phoenix was a clear favourite but the question was by how much. Phoenix dominated the board vote, but then dropped harshly, going from near a doubling to a fairly standard 57/43 win. This gave him his first 1v1 victory as it happens, and it's about time too.

What could this mean?: As expected Phoenix is slightly stronger and Chris is slightly weaker I think. Phoenix has a dominant early vote then falls off, which is exacerbated by the new start time. I believe percentage-wise he had the biggest within-match drop of the contest (counting from after the board vote). I think Phoenix looked solid here but not good enough to beat Ike, more on that in the next match.

Day 8, Match 2 - Ike vs. Joel
(6) Ike: 62.31% - (11) Joel: 37.69%

What happened?: This was similar to the last one in that Ike was the large favourite but the question was how much he would win by. It turns out a lot. Ike won easily and looked tremendous during the Power Hour. He also didn't drop quite as hard as Phoenix which is significant.

What could this mean?: Ike looks like a good favourite over Phoenix now. Joel isn't going to be weak, The Last of Us is strong on here, even though Joel is not the draw. The floor for Joel is likely Booker and Phoenix wouldn't do these numbers on him. It also has to be emphasised that Fire Emblem has gotten a lot more popular since 2013, and Ike is THE guy among the fanbase, he is absolutely beloved. This is probably a stronger Ike and he should beat Phoenix I think.
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I just decided to change this sig.
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