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Topic~Lightning Strikes's CBX Snap Analysis~
Lightning Strikes
11/01/18 2:26:45 PM
#110:


Day 12, Match 1 - Luigi vs. Miles Edgeworth
(1) Luigi: 77.47% - (16) Edgeworth: 22.53%

What happened?: Another standard Nintendo fodder beatdown, in which Nintendo overperforms expectations based on the last contest. The one really notable thing about this match is the trends, with Luigi building his percentage over time. Looks like Ace Attorney is more frontloaded than Nintendo.

What could this mean?: Strong showing for Luigi. Edgeworth is fodder but he's reliable fodder, and Ace Attorney as a whole has looked better lately. I do think this match should be looked at in the context of Bowser vs. Gordon because even now I'm having a hard time imagining Edgeworth beating Gordon.

Day 12, Match 2 - Frog vs. Monokuma
(8) Frog: 76.38% - (9) Monokuma: 23.62%

What happened?: Another overseeded fodder blowout. Monokuma is bottom 5 for sure, but was able to get a decent seed anyway. Frog also built his lead over time, showing that Monokuma is another frontloaded "cult" character.

What could this mean?: Chrono Trigger is still good and Monokuma is very weak, next,

Day 12, Match 3 - Master Chief vs. Goro Majima
(5) Chief: 69% (nice) - (12) Majima: 31%

What happened?: This should have been a huge blowout and wasn't. Chief was struggling to get over even 65% during the Power Hour. He recovered somewhat and then held steady, but ultimately was far lower than expected.

What could this mean?: Majima should be one of the weakest characters in the bracket, that Chief could not get over 70% is fairly embarassing. Would he even beat Bomberman? It follows that Majima would be weaker than Kiryu after all. This was a really bad showing.

Day 12, Match 4 - Nathan Drake vs. Miles "Tails" Prower
(4) Drake: 43.27% - (13) Tails: 56.78%

What happened?: Another debated match that looked less debated as things went on. Sonic looked good, western characters have been a mix and Uncharted looked bad even despite 4. The match started as 60/40 which is pretty awful, but Drake did redeem himself somewhat as the match went on. Still pretty bad since I can't imagine Tails suddenly bein super strong.

What could this mean?: Uncharted has never been good here for some reason, even among Sony series, and that is clearly still true. Sonic Team has looked good and that continues, this was a better showing for Tails than Th Boss managed in 2010, and I can't see Drake being that much weaker.

Sorry for the short ones today!
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