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Topic~Lightning Strikes's CBX Snap Analysis~
Lightning Strikes
11/05/18 2:00:47 PM
#141:


Round 2 begin!

Day 17, Match 1 - Dante vs. Lightning
(1) Dante: 65.62% - (9) Lightning: 34.38%

What happened?: My sincere apologies to SuperNiceDog. Dante was never really threatened by Lightning, but I think some people were wondering if maybe she would do something here based on Dante not destroying Cuphead and Chloe getting demolished by Lightning. Nope, Cuphead was just sorely underseeded relative to Chloe (those two should have been swapped). This was a really gnarly beatdown early on with Dante doubling Lightning - she almost looked like Cuphead at the start of the match. She did recover somewhat but not by much, still losing with less than 35%. At the start of the contest there were seven Final Fantasy leads in the main bracket, there is now just one, Squall left in it.

What could this mean?: Again, Cuphead shouldn't have been a 16-seed, Chloe is terrible, and Lightning is not very good. In fairness I do think this is a strong Dante, I think Devil May Cry 5 hype is a very real thing, and as I will get into in the next match his bout against Ganondorf could be one to watch. This was in-line (slightly over) with the projected result based on 2013 though, so I don't think Lightning was much better than her terrible performance there.

Day 17, Match 2 - Chun-Li vs. Ganondorf
(12) Chun-Li: 41.09% - (4) Ganondorf: 58.91%

What happened?: Now this result was just baffling. Chun-Li not crushing Spyro was almost certainly entirely down to Spyro now being decent, that's fair. But Ganondorf went from looking like a titan against Neku to underperforming his so-so 2013 stats. This was especially bad early on as Ganondorf struggled to get much above 60% during the power hour and then bled through the night vote, losing outright in Asia and Eastern Europe. In his favour, he did eventually stem the bleeding at 59%.

What could this mean?: Beats me. There was an argument I believed before the contest began that because Ganondorf was not in Breath of the Wild much, he would not receive the same boost as Link and Zelda. Indeed "Ganondorf" hasn't been in a Zelda game since 2006. Then he looked terrific against Neku. Was it SFF after all? Did Chun-Li drain some of his Nintendo support (Ganondorf being pretty low on the SFF totem pole)? I can't say that Ganondorf's victory is assured against Dante anymore, but I won't rush to say Dante's now the favourite - Chun-Li could simply be very good. Capcom in general has looked great except against the winner of Division 1. Additionally, we got another really stellar Nintendo showing in this match. This is the kind of result that throws the whole division wide open, there are now four potential winners and that's really exciting.
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