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Topic~Lightning Strikes's CBX Snap Analysis~
Lightning Strikes
11/08/18 7:12:52 PM
#160:


Day 20, Match 1 - 2B vs. Ness
(1) 2B: 53.72% - (9) Ness: 46.28%

What happened?: Looking at the board's predictions on this match, I was a bit surprised to learn that Ness was the favourite. Narrowly, but then a fair few few people had Shadow winning this match as well. This was seriously underestimating 2B, she's no fraud and earned a high seed even without the NRT win. As it happens, she looked pretty good here, beating Ness by almost as much as Big Daddy in 2010 (which was against a likely weaker Ness). With how good Big Daddy looked then, I think 2B's likely of reasonable strength here. What's really notable about this match is that 2B actually won the registered user vote over a Nintendo character, and slightly bled percentage as well, starting over 55%. This is a big surprise since Nier hasn't looked that great here before now, but that could definitely have changed.

What could this mean?: As said 2B looked pretty good here, Ness isn't that weak and has reason to have improved since last time with Smash and his game actually releasing in Europe. She probably looks decent against Bowser in the next round. Also I think this validates what I was thinking earlier about Cayde-6 being closer to Sandal than Tanner as weakest (well, other than Draven) characters go.

Day 20, Match 2 - Charizard vs. Bowser
(12) Charizard: 43.45% - (4) Bowser: 56.55%

What happened?: This match was hotly debated until round 1, when Charaizard underperformed and Bowser looked like a god. This is actually a rematch of 2010, when Charizard won comfortably. This time Bowser not only flipped the result, but by more than the original margin. Some trends got flipped here, including Pokemon being frontloaded - Charizard actually gained as the match went on.

What could this mean?: Is Charizard a fraud? Well, slightly, he was one of the most rallied Pokemon and doesn't have that boost any more. However, Bowser looked really great in round 1 and is likely a monster now. In addition to Bowser probably beating Kirby again and taking the division, expect some serious strength from Mario when we get to him - the whole franchise has looked great.
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I just decided to change this sig.
Blaaaaaaargh BKSheikah
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