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Topic~Lightning Strikes's CBX Snap Analysis~
Lightning Strikes
11/10/18 6:23:02 PM
#168:


Day 22, Match 3 - Auron vs. Vincent Valentine
(3) Auron: 55.8% - (9) Vincent: 44.2%

What happened?: Oh how the mighty have fallen. Before this match, Vincent had never lost a 1v1 match to a non-Noble Niner, his only non-N9 loss at all being in a very screwy 2013 match. However he looked pretty bad in 2013 even despite the external factors he went up against. He then looked like trash against Magus, squeaking by. Auron didn't look great in round 1 (though Lucina has almost certainly boosted) but he easily dispatched Vincent. This was ugly in the early vote, with Vincent losing by more than Lucina, but to his credit he did gain a lot as the match went on, 4% after the first hour. The FFVII anti-vote is alive and well. Even without it though, Vincent failing to get 45% on a non-Noble Niner is humiliating.

What could this mean?: Final confirmation of Vincent's new place in these things: a midcarder. Sounds crazy right? Admittedly it's hard to say much about strength from this because we don't have a firm read on current Auron yet. Additionally, there may be some screwy SFF going on, they are both post-SNES FF undead "badasses", and it could go either way. It could be in favour of Vincent because of VII's prevalence over X, or in favour of Auron because he's actually a well written character. Either way I'm now very curious to see how Auron does in his next match.

Day 22, Match 4 - Sub-Zero vs. Claire Redfield
(10) Sub-Zero: 66.26% - (15) Claire: 33.74%

What happened?: A dominant showing for Sub-Zero. This does line up with 2013 estimates so maybe it's not a shock, but he still looked really good here, especially early on where he was over 70% during the board vote.

What could this mean?: Hey, Shulk could have made it to round 3 if you swapped out Sub-Zero! Anyway if Sub-Zero beats Auron he should easily win the division. Great showing from him.
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