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Topic~Lightning Strikes's CBX Snap Analysis~
Lightning Strikes
11/16/18 12:53:55 PM
#186:


Day 28, Match 1 - Luigi vs. Tails
(1) Luigi: 69.65% - (13) Tails: 30.35%

What happened?: Not much to report here, this was a quite standard beatdown with the likely assistance of SFF. The only really noticeable trend was that as the rallies started to fly in the next match I'll write about, Tails gained a fair bit of percentage. For Mega Man X, this makes sense. For Tifa, this is hilarious.

What could this mean?: Not much to take from this, Luigi looked great here and could easily take the next round still, but with SFF likely we can't get a solid reading of his strength.

Day 28, Match 2 - Tifa Lockheart vs. Mega Man X
(3) Tifa: 50.18% - (2) X: 49.82%

What happened?: This was absolutely crazy, and the most exciting match of the contest by far, one of the best of all time. X got ahead to a small but significant lead of about 52%, more or less what was to be expected of him. At his peak X led by nearly 500 votes, which had been called by many an unbreachable barrier. However, as the night went on Tifa started to make significant gains, eventually leading by almost 200 votes. Then things get crazy. X starts to cut, slowly whittling away Tifa's lead. This is in part due to a reasonably successful rally on r/MegaMan. After many stalls and a comeback lasting hours, X takes the lead, and starts to get ahead by over 80 votes. Judging from their late match trends, it looked like X had Tifa dead to rights. Then the counter rallies begin, first on r/FinalFantasy and then, hilariously, on various hentai subreddits. Things went back and forth as rallies flew furiously, and in the end Tifa got a lead and started to pull ahead in the last several updates. Nonetheless this was still one of the closest matches of all time. With big rallies on both sides (X had the biggest single rally by far but Tifa had numbers on her side) this match did seem to be relatively even and fair, although that's not getting into the Peru shenanigans I am not qualified to talk about here. I just wish the contestant I'm supporting wins in a close match one of these days, that's pretty rare.

What could this mean?: Not much we can draw from this other than small rallies still being a thing, helped by the fact that these two were separated by only two votes (in X's favour) in the users' votes. The two rallies seemed ultimately even based on that breakdown, and thus it's safe to assume that in real strength these two are neck and neck. All those rallies only brought in about 1000 extra votes so it wasn't a matchbreaker by any means. The match against Luigi is still a tossup. As for Tifa herself, she is clearly very strong, though actually underperformed her projections, but this is more due to screwy stats for Tifa and X than any real sign of decline, she is stable.
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