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Topic~Lightning Strikes's CBX Snap Analysis~
Lightning Strikes
12/04/18 12:35:32 PM
#214:


Day 38, Match 1 - Solid Snake vs. Auron
Snake: 61.48% - Auron: 38.52%

What happened?: After being the first character to break the Noble Nine in a 24 hour unaltered result, Snake redeems himself by cleaning Auron's clock. After fumbling the board vote (somewhat unexpected), Snake shot up to 63% before slowly calming down to just under 61.5%. Also worth noting is that Snake did this with his sprite pic, though I don't think that matters nearly as much as it used to.

What could this mean?: Well this makes Sonic look really bad (or more as we're seeing from the future, Zelda look amazing). Snake hasn't lost as many steps as people thought, he is likely weaker than his prime but no lower than 6th overall I think. The problem is he got fed to Zelda, who is just a next level monster now. Snake will have no trouble at all with Sonic in the next round.

Day 38, Match 1 - Tifa Lockheart vs. Sephiroth
Tifa: 52.33% - Sephiroth: 47.67%

What happened?: Tifa showed that she has more than one surprise result in her. We saw this match in 2010, and while Sephiroth won, he is generally seen to have underperformed. In that match he started off really struggling, at 53-54%, before bringing it to just over 56%. As good as Tifa looked that year this was a much stronger Sephiroth and this match was a textbook case of rSFF. This past result is important to keep in mind as it is reflected here with the result flipped. Tifa started off in this match well clear of 55%, she was beating Sephiroth easily. He did redeem himself, making up over 3%, just like in the 2010 match. Tifa won this match, bringing the Noble Nine casualty count up to three as of this match (with a fourth inevitable when Sonic loses to Zelda). I will say, I doubt Tifa nearly doubles Ryu, which also adds to the SFF suspicions.

What could this mean?: This was almost certainly a result of rSFF, as strong as Tifa is, Sephiroth doesn't seem to have dropped THAT much (especially when she has been arguably missing her 2010 strength too). What I think has happened is a mix of Sephiroth dropping more than Tifa and him losing favour in the fandom - after all, as we have grown older silver haired 90s edgelords have definitely fallen out of fashion. So it's easy to see how Tifa could flip this match using a few percentage worth of rSFF boost since it would have been fairly close anyway. Make no mistake, I think the two are still very close in strength, and I do regard Sephiroth as the weakest member of the Noble Nine overall.
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