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TopicCharacter Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 10
Master Moltar
12/08/18 12:50:43 PM
#8:


transiences Analysis

I'm super excited to see this one. It's my two favourite popular characters! Sorry, Samus, you can't match up with these guys. In my mind it's a rematch of a really underrated 2005 match. The Sonic/Mega and Mega/Crono matches were really tight. Both of those matches went as expected but not by much.

There are so many numbers that you can crunch in this one. It's basically Yoshi vs. Bowser though. Crono got 54.88% and 54.72% on Bowser; Pikachu got 54.8% on Yoshi, Mega and Pikachu may as well be equal. I think the consensus is Bowser over Yoshi, and thus Crono over Mega Man. The stats through Cloud and Pikachu show Crono being a couple percentage points above Mega, so unless there's some SFF in the Link/Pikachu match, Crono's probably good for a 53-47 win or so. Everything kinda lines up nicely. Mega and Sonic never feel very far apart and but Sonic's not looked great.

I dunno though. I'm kinda low on Crono. I watched him not really do very well on Cloud who just got embarrassed by Link. It's mostly relative to old performances, to be fair. He's still ahead of Mega by the numbers. With FF7 being so uniformly bad, I'm kinda feeling Mega Man for this one. I guess you could make a case that everyone on the site is playing the new Smash game and Crono's the odd man out. I guess that's convincing, in a way, but this is the worst of trailers where we digest games from afar and don't actually play them. I'm gonna go with Mega Man though. Hopefully Moltar goes the other way because I'm tired of being one point behind him for a month.

transience's prediction: Mega Man with 50.67%

Leonharts Analysis

Honestly, I want Mega Man to win this just to avoid a pointless rematch between Cloud and Crono. The numbers might favor him here, too. Even with the potential for Link/Pikachu SFF, Crono isnt that far ahead of Mega Man in the X-Stats after Link/Cloud. I suppose theres also the possibility that Cloud SFFd Crono a little bit since he did underperform a tad based on Alucard/Bowser. Either way, I cant imagine either character winning by a huge margin, but Mega Man is the only one I could see winning this comfortably (say 53-54%), despite how good that makes Pikachu look (augh). I think if Crono wins, he just narrowly edges him out. As such, Ill hope for the best and side with Mega Man.

Leonharts Vote: Mega Man

Leonharts Prediction: Mega Man with 53.01%
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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