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Topic	Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1318
charmander6000 12/08/18 4:15:40 PM #97:	Match CXLIII: (8) Mega Man vs. (5) Crono Current Contest Performance Mega Man Lost to Pikachu, 49.89% - 50.11% Defeated Ganondorf, 60.03% - 39.97% Defeated Pikachu, 50.67% - 49.33% Crono Defeated Bowser, 54.88% - 45.12% Lost to Cloud Strife, 43.27% - 56.73% Defeated Bowser, 54.75% - 45.25% Analysis Mega Man was successfully able to get his revenge against Pikachu, winning his rematch and regaining his honor. Cronos rematch against Bowser went almost the same way it did the first time with Crono finishing only 0.13% away from his original performance. The loser of this match will arguably be the weakest Noble Nine character of the bunch, with only Sonic having something to say. In my mind this comes down to who would you take between Bowser and Yoshi. In my head the pair are essentially equal with Bowser having the kicker should they ever meet in a rematch. Both characters have had their ups and downs over their contest history. Clouds performance against Link would suggest Crono has the advantage, but with Pikachu suffering SFF against Link it wouldnt take too much for Mega Man to pull ahead. Im still going for Crono, but I suspect this match will be close. charmander6000s Bracket: Cloud Strife > Mega Man charmander6000s Prediction: Crono wins, 50.72% - 49.28% Match CXLIV: (3) Solid Snake vs. (2) Samus Aran Current Contest Performance Solid Snake Lost to Zelda, 49.68% - 50.32% Defeated Auron, 61.48% - 38.52% Defeated Sonic the Hedgehog, 57.53% - 42.47% Samus Aran Defeated Tifa Lockheart, 58.93% - 41.07% Lost to Mario, 48.58% - 51.42% Defeated Tifa Lockheart, 58.58% - 41.42% Analysis With the way Zelda/Mario is going this should be a great match. On paper this means Solid Snake has the advantage, but there are other things to consider that could give Samus the victory. First, I think we have to consider Zelda potentially having a bandwagon effect. While Solid Snake has held his own since his loss to Zelda that still gives Zelda an opportunity to have gain a bandwagon since that match. Also, if you believe in the power of rSFF then it is possible we saw it in both Zelda/Mario and Mario/Samus which would make it harder for Solid Snake to hold on to the victory. I think it is quite possible that Samus is indirectly stronger than Mario. This would give her the edge here, even if Zelda going even with Mario is her new natural strength. Overall Snake has a great chance at winning and on an unadjusted stats he would win, but I feel there are too many external factors working against him. charmander6000s Bracket: Samus Aran > Sonic the Hedgehog charmander6000s Prediction: Samus Aran wins, 51.63% - 48.37% --- CBX - Today's Winner: Solid Snake <cite>charmander6000 posted [p:913781516] in Contest St... [t:77280083]...</cite> <quote>Match CXLIII: (8) Mega Man vs. (5) Crono Current Contest Performance Mega Man Lost to Pikachu, 49.89% - 50.11% Defeated Ganondorf, 60.03% - 39.97% Defeated Pikachu, 50.67% - 49.33% Crono Defeated Bowser, 54.88% - 45.12% Lost to Cloud Strife, 43.27% - 56.73% Defeated Bowser, 54.75% - 45.25% Analysis Mega Man was successfully able to get his revenge against Pikachu, winning his rematch and regaining his honor. Cronos rematch against Bowser went almost the same way it did the first time with Crono finishing only 0.13% away from his original performance. The loser of this match will arguably be the weakest Noble Nine character of the bunch, with only Sonic having something to say. In my mind this comes down to who would you take between Bowser and Yoshi. In my head the pair are essentially equal with Bowser having the kicker should they ever meet in a rematch. Both characters have had their ups and downs over their contest history. Clouds performance against Link would suggest Crono has the advantage, but with Pikachu suffering SFF against Link it wouldnt take too much for Mega Man to pull ahead. Im still going for Crono, but I suspect this match will be close. charmander6000s Bracket: Cloud Strife > Mega Man charmander6000s Prediction: Crono wins, 50.72% - 49.28% Match CXLIV: (3) Solid Snake vs. (2) Samus Aran Current Contest Performance Solid Snake Lost to Zelda, 49.68% - 50.32% Defeated Auron, 61.48% - 38.52% Defeated Sonic the Hedgehog, 57.53% - 42.47% Samus Aran Defeated Tifa Lockheart, 58.93% - 41.07% Lost to Mario, 48.58% - 51.42% Defeated Tifa Lockheart, 58.58% - 41.42% Analysis With the way Zelda/Mario is going this should be a great match. On paper this means Solid Snake has the advantage, but there are other things to consider that could give Samus the victory. First, I think we have to consider Zelda potentially having a bandwagon effect. While Solid Snake has held his own since his loss to Zelda that still gives Zelda an opportunity to have gain a bandwagon since that match. Also, if you believe in the power of rSFF then it is possible we saw it in both Zelda/Mario and Mario/Samus which would make it harder for Solid Snake to hold on to the victory. I think it is quite possible that Samus is indirectly stronger than Mario. This would give her the edge here, even if Zelda going even with Mario is her new natural strength. Overall Snake has a great chance at winning and on an unadjusted stats he would win, but I feel there are too many external factors working against him. charmander6000s Bracket: Samus Aran > Sonic the Hedgehog charmander6000s Prediction: Samus Aran wins, 51.63% - 48.37% --- CBX - Today's Winner: Solid Snake</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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