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Topic	Character Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 10
Master Moltar 12/09/18 5:35:42 PM #83:	transiences Analysis I need a real, honest to god reason to pick Samus over Mario. "Smash Bros" could maybe be it, but probably not? That's practically got Mario's name in the title. "Revenge votes" doesn't seem like a thing after Bowser, Pikachu, etc. Mega was a lot closer to Pikachu than Samus was. I'm not saying it can't happen, but I don't go against the king without a reason. Zelda at least had her series in her corner. Samus is putting up a Mario-beating performance here, and I'd love to see Samus/Zelda, but I can't go all in. Samus needs to prove that she can beat the king who's whipped her for over a decade now. transience's prediction: Mario with 50.84% Leonharts Analysis Samus keeps putting up impressive performances, and it keeps not mattering because she ends up getting thwarted by the hierarchy when she faces Mario. Could she actually run this back and beat Mario? At this point, Samus is probably our only hope for a semi-interesting final. Not to say she can beat Link, but well have already seen Zelda lose to Link once and weve seen Mario get SFFd by Link many times in the past. Plus, it seems like Samus is indirectly our #2 character at this point, and if she can resist getting smashed by Mario like she once did, maybe the same would be true if she faced Link. Do I think any of that will ACTUALLY happen? Probably not, but its pretty much all Ive got left to root for this year, which is a sad commentary in and of itself! Leonharts Vote: Samus Aran Leonharts Prediction: Mario with 51.75% Kleenexs Analysis We just saw this a few days ago, and Samus got way closer than pretty much anyone expected. Part of me wants to say she could flip things here. Unfortunately, every rematch weve seen so far has told us that the results dont change that much. Mega Man was the only one to reverse things so far, but his original match was close enough for variation to matter. I dont think 52/48 is close enough, despite Samus killing Snake today, who went even with Zelda, who just beat Mario. Because, you know, stats. I do kinda hope my theory that ZSS is better than suited Samus these days is tested, because I think thats the one thing that may give her a shot. Otherwise, expect about what we saw last time these two met. Kleenexs prediction: Mario with 51% Guests Analysis - War As I'm writing this I'm watching Snake do all he can to reach 44% against an opponent that he statistically should beat. There is a reason this is happening. No, it is not because the opponent he 'should' beat is actually a lot stronger than him. Even though this is true. No, it is not because we've seen this before, right down to the hype being due to Sonic and Zelda matches. Even though this is also true. It is because some princess decided to grab for the title of Queen. Make no mistake, in these contests there is one Queen. The Queen would not be jealous over King Harkinian playing badminton with another woman. The Queen would not fear Ganon, a being so weak that he needs to disguise himself as Impa, and could be defeated by Bagu wielding a thing called the Handy Glove. The Queen would definitely not go on a date to a bar, only for her man to get pissed off at a Daira spilling booze brewed by his parents. A princess has reached for something far beyond her status, and there is a phrase appropriate for the occasion. God Save The Queen. And May Everyone Else Burn. Samus with 54% Crew Consensus: Mario does it again. --- Moltar Status: contest hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ <cite>Master Moltar posted [p:913839414] in Character ... [t:77280848]...</cite> <quote>transiences Analysis I need a real, honest to god reason to pick Samus over Mario. "Smash Bros" could maybe be it, but probably not? That's practically got Mario's name in the title. "Revenge votes" doesn't seem like a thing after Bowser, Pikachu, etc. Mega was a lot closer to Pikachu than Samus was. I'm not saying it can't happen, but I don't go against the king without a reason. Zelda at least had her series in her corner. Samus is putting up a Mario-beating performance here, and I'd love to see Samus/Zelda, but I can't go all in. Samus needs to prove that she can beat the king who's whipped her for over a decade now. transience's prediction: Mario with 50.84% Leonharts Analysis Samus keeps putting up impressive performances, and it keeps not mattering because she ends up getting thwarted by the hierarchy when she faces Mario. Could she actually run this back and beat Mario? At this point, Samus is probably our only hope for a semi-interesting final. Not to say she can beat Link, but well have already seen Zelda lose to Link once and weve seen Mario get SFFd by Link many times in the past. Plus, it seems like Samus is indirectly our #2 character at this point, and if she can resist getting smashed by Mario like she once did, maybe the same would be true if she faced Link. Do I think any of that will ACTUALLY happen? Probably not, but its pretty much all Ive got left to root for this year, which is a sad commentary in and of itself! Leonharts Vote: Samus Aran Leonharts Prediction: Mario with 51.75% Kleenexs Analysis We just saw this a few days ago, and Samus got way closer than pretty much anyone expected. Part of me wants to say she could flip things here. Unfortunately, every rematch weve seen so far has told us that the results dont change that much. Mega Man was the only one to reverse things so far, but his original match was close enough for variation to matter. I dont think 52/48 is close enough, despite Samus killing Snake today, who went even with Zelda, who just beat Mario. Because, you know, stats. I do kinda hope my theory that ZSS is better than suited Samus these days is tested, because I think thats the one thing that may give her a shot. Otherwise, expect about what we saw last time these two met. Kleenexs prediction: Mario with 51% Guests Analysis - War As I'm writing this I'm watching Snake do all he can to reach 44% against an opponent that he statistically should beat. There is a reason this is happening. No, it is not because the opponent he 'should' beat is actually a lot stronger than him. Even though this is true. No, it is not because we've seen this before, right down to the hype being due to Sonic and Zelda matches. Even though this is also true. It is because some princess decided to grab for the title of Queen. Make no mistake, in these contests there is one Queen. The Queen would not be jealous over King Harkinian playing badminton with another woman. The Queen would not fear Ganon, a being so weak that he needs to disguise himself as Impa, and could be defeated by Bagu wielding a thing called the Handy Glove. The Queen would definitely not go on a date to a bar, only for her man to get pissed off at a Daira spilling booze brewed by his parents. A princess has reached for something far beyond her status, and there is a phrase appropriate for the occasion. God Save The Queen. And May Everyone Else Burn. Samus with 54% Crew Consensus: Mario does it again. --- Moltar Status: contest hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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