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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1324 - CBX Winners Announced
LusterSoldier
01/14/19 2:09:06 AM
#32:


Poll updates and trend charts for the 3-way and 1v1 GotY polls:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17hoT3q7uhwz4siwbJN3oaLGPoiPpgpc7aX5XBvzZUX4/pub

Trend chart for the 3-way poll:

Time | GoW | Red Dead 2 | SSBU | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 29.81% | 16.77% | 53.42% | 161 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 30.05% | 19.62% | 50.33% | 1065 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 34.62% | 20.28% | 45.10% | 2441 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 34.41% | 22.74% | 42.85% | 1517 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 35.23% | 21.97% | 42.81% | 2836 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 33.25% | 23.41% | 43.34% | 2704 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 35.21% | 19.07% | 45.72% | 514 | (22:00-24:00)

God of War and RDR2 both have a terrible early vote. God of War does best at night and during the morning vote, but it does drop off during the day vote before getting a boost during the SNV again. RDR2's trends are a bit different from God of War, since it does only slightly better during the night vote compared to the Power Hour. RDR2 has a good moring vote and an even better day vote.

SSBU has a very strong early vote and Power Hour, then drops off hard during the night vote and performs worst during the morning and day vote. SSBU does perform better during the SNV, but it still doesn't come close to the Power Hour.

Trend chart for the 1v1 poll:

Time | GoW | SSBU | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 33.11% | 66.89% | 148 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 43.58% | 56.42% | 966 | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 46.39% | 53.61% | 2272 | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 46.99% | 53.01% | 1281 | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 45.46% | 54.54% | 2633 | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 45.49% | 54.51% | 2449 | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 45.02% | 54.98% | 462 | (22:00-24:00)

SSBU again has a very strong early vote, but it lost nearly 7% on the second update of the poll before losing almost another 4% before the end of the Power Hour. SSBU performs worst during the night vote and early morning vote. God of War even managed to win 2 hours over SSBU overnight and also cut 31 votes off SSBU's lead (314 to 283) during the night vote. It took until 8:00 AM for SSBU to take control of this poll and begin extending its lead over God of War again.

Unlike in the 3-way poll, SSBU actually showed signs of a day vote here, but it still pales in comparison to the Power Hour. This poll happened on a weekend, which could explain the difference in trends between the 3-way and 1v1 polls. The day vote on the weekend starts in the morning. Another important element that fewer people work on the weekend (at least those with full time jobs), so the usual morning vote on the weekend doesn't resemble the weekday morning vote which contains a lot of older voters who have full time jobs. The presence of RDR2 in the could have also hurt SSBU's morning and day vote in the 3-way poll as RDR2 had a good morning and day vote.
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