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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1324 - CBX Winners Announced
LusterSoldier
08/17/19 7:40:57 AM
#447:


AxemRedRanger posted...
Results might differ very slightly from what Luster would get because of certain assumptions made; see Notes section for details.


I did my own calculations using the new method to revise the average age for every age poll we've had so far. In my calculations, I use the following assumptions for the average age in the Under/Over age groups:

Before 2006:

Under 7 - 6.5
Under 9 - 8
Under 10 - 8.5
Under 13 - 10.5

After 2006:

Under 9 - 9
Under 10 - 9
Under 13 / 12 or under - 11
Over 40 - 45
Over 45 / 46 or older - 51

Unlike AxemRedRanger, I chose to use 45 as the average age for the Over 40 option instead of his choice of 46. This is because the Over 40 option appeared in age polls during a time when the Over 40 age group made up a far smaller percentage of the site than it does right now, so it was not as likely that we had a lot of extreme outliers (people over 60) affecting the average age of the entire Over 40 age group. With Over 45, I had previously used 50 in my older calculations, but I chose to revise this to 51 as this age group is a growing segment of the GameFAQs userbase. In the 2003 age poll, I chose to handle the poll mistake with the 31-35 and 35-40 age groups by assigning average ages of 33.25 and 38.25 respectively, which is nearly identical to how AxemRedRanger handled this.

I treated the Under 9 / 10 option separately depending on when the age poll happened. When the Under 9 option returned as an option beginning with the 2012 age poll, it was receiving a much higher percentage of votes than the Under 9 option had gotten prior to 2006.

Starting with the 2012 age poll, the Under 9 option received the following percentage of votes - 0.82%, 0.87%, 0.75%, 0.82%, 0.87%, 0.64%

This is notably higher than what the Under 9 option got prior to 2006 (0.49%, 0.53%, 0.59%) despite the site's average age being way older after 2006. Joke voting is suggested to be the main reason for Under 9 getting an even higher percentage of votes in the more recent age polls, with possibly more than half of the votes for Under 9 being joke votes coming from people who are much older than 9. Evidence for joke voting is supported by 12 and under getting a lower percentage (0.42%) in the most recent age poll compared to Under 9's average percentage (0.80%) in the age polls from 2012 to 2017. To adjust for the effect of joke votes for Under 9, I set the average age at 9 for that option in the age polls after 2006. To a lesser extent, I think Under 10 may have been affected by joke votes in the age polls from 2007 to 2011.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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