LogFAQs > #927392817

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TopicThe "the Pokemon Go topic purged" purged.
Forceful_Dragon
09/13/19 3:35:34 PM
#170:


Regional Shiny Data FYI:

https://thesilphroad.com/science/quick-discovery/kanto-regional-shiny-rates/

At this stage, and considering our past experience, we can state that both encountering methods share the same rate. Aggregating data across all methods and species (including data where the method of encounter was undefined), we have amassed 3,227 encounters and 84 shinies, leading to a 99% confidence interval for the shiny rate of of 1 in 30 52. This confidence interval will continue to narrow over the coming days as more data is accumulated.


So 1 in 40~ that a regional will be shiny, and around a 40% chance the egg will have a regional. (Though only a 30% it will be for a region besides your own)

Tough odds. If it's 1::40 you would need to hatch 100 7k eggs on average to hatch 40 regionals to have 1 shiny regional.
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