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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
Master Moltar
04/02/20 6:13:50 PM
#22:


Round 1 Fire Emblem: Three Houses vs. South Park: The Stick of Truth

Moltars Analysis

Well, FE: Awakening didnt light the world on fire, but we already had an idea about how strong it would be.

But Three Houses is the new hotness, and it got 47% on RE2 which looked strong in its match earlier, so itll do much better than Awakening, right?

Right?



...RIGHT?

(I have it going far so it better)

Moltars Bracket: Fire Emblem: Three Houses

Moltars Prediction: Fire Emblem: Three Houses 73%

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transiences Analysis

South Park: The Stick of Truth. I'm still not convinced that anybody actually played this. I spend a lot of time online and I don't think I've ever really seen anyone talk about this game. It's South Park and it's an RPG so it's probably not awful? Its poll results aren't awful, about equal to Bravely Default and Bayonetta 2.

Three Houses seems like the strongest FE game by a good bit at this point. It probably helped that it was on Switch, where console players can put it on the tv. It really stood out as a major game for a few months there and did a nice job hanging with RE2 in the GOTY polls. It's going to win this. Awakening didn't do great when paired against Deus Ex: HR, and I'd wager that game is probably about equal to South Park. Three Houses is a little stronger so I'll go for about a doubling. It'll be fun to compare this performance to Xenoblade's.

transience's prediction: Fire Emblem: Three Houses with 65.45%

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Leonharts Analysis

Three Houses was the biggest Switch game last year, which means something here. Awakening was the game that brought Fire Emblem into the mainstream, but Three Houses took it to the next level. Heck, even I played it! I think pretty highly of its chances to contend for and even win the division. I dont know what to expect from it in round 1 though. I feel like Stick of Truth is a bit underseeded and maybe couldve even won a match with better placement, so I wouldnt be surprised if Three Houses doesnt go as high as the other contenders in the division. Kinda like Mass Effect 2 in Division 2, it might look bad relative to the competition because it didnt get an opponent that really let it flex its muscles like the other big games here did.

Leonharts Vote: Fire Emblem: Three Houses

Leonharts Prediction: Fire Emblem: Three Houses with 65.67%
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Kleenexs Analysis

Three Houses is a pretty fun wildcard, especially in this division. That game was kinda everywhere over the summer - people seemed to enjoy it quite a lot, and I think its safe to say it's been the most prolific Fire Emblem game to date. Im still a little shaky on how strong Fire Emblem (the series) actually is around here, but theres a good chance that Three Houses leveled up its popularity. It absolutely has a shot to take down the weak division it's been dealt, and Im very interested to see how it fares in its first few rounds. I have a pretty strong aversion to all things South Park related, so Im likely underestimating Stick of Truth due to bias, but Im pretty sure that game is junk-tier. Maybe the South Park name props it up, but despite being an RPG it doesnt strike me as a very GameFAQs game. Fire Emblem could look real good here and weve seen a lot of unexpected blowouts so far - this could be another.

Kleenexs Prediction: Fire Emblem: Three Houses with 71.50%

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Guests Analysis Sir Chris

Fire Emblem: Three Houses is a game I first played in 2020 but I loved every second of the first two routes for the game that I have done. South Park: Stick of Truth remains one of the games I always wanted to get around to but never had the chance even though it is constantly on sale.

Did you know this juggernaut beat Dark Souls II for PC game of the year? Oh yes, it is true. And All Fire Emblem: Three Houses did was score 47% on RE2! Hah!

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Okay so it is kind of hard to gauge what we are dealing with here, but I am going to go out on a limb and say TH and Awakening are going to be somewhat comparable and I would except South Park to be a whole hell of a lot weaker than Deus Ex on this site given the series has a strong history of at least getting into stuff even if it is to just get ragdolled!

Also RPG SFF gogogo

Fire Emblem: Three Houses - 73.5%
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Crew Consensus: South Park gets canceled.

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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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