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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
Master Moltar
04/03/20 2:22:06 AM
#70:


Round 1 The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt vs. Assassin's Creed Odyssey

Moltars Analysis

oh boy its witching time

We saw Witcher 3 back in 2015, and it did well against MGS2 (back when the MGS series was stronger than it is today). Since then, this game has gotten even more popular, thanks to additional exposure from the Netflix series. Alucard was helped tremendously from a Netflix boost and I wouldnt be surprised to see Witcher also benefit.

Assassins Creed is one of those series that came and went here. Back in 2010, it was a series that lost with some grace. In 2015, FF6 tripled an AC game. Now? Interest in AC here is at an all time low, and I can see Witcher going really big on it here.

Moltars Bracket: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt

Moltars Prediction: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt 78%

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transiences Analysis

Halfway through round 1! The first half of the bracket has some interesting spots, but the winner is obvious. The bottom half is as wide open a half as we've had in these contests, mostly because of how Allen stacked the bracket against Nintendo.

One pre-contest favourite is The Witcher 3, though it's largely pinned on belief moreso than results. Witcher 3 only barely beat Fallout 4 in its GOTY poll, but the game has really exploded in popularity year over year and Geralt did pretty well in the 2018 contest. We'll get into its prospects when it gets a real match.

Its opponent is an Assassin's Creed game. Assassin's Creed had a decent following back when it was new and hyped. Altair did some serious work to midcarders around the turn of last decade and AC2, along with Batman and Uncharted, were legitimate games. Fast forward a decade and AC is old hat and most people would sooner associate the abbreviation with Animal Crossing. Odyssey is well regarded but it's hard to break through when they put out a game every year for a decade plus and it's not a Nintendo game or an RPG.

Witcher 3 should make quick work of it here -- but, like a lot of other games, being from a notable series probably means you aren't getting blown out. If Witcher 3 breaks 75%, we could have an interesting showdown.

transience's prediction: The Witcher 3 with 71.44%

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Leonharts Analysis

We saw one Odyssey go for 86% and we might see another Odyssey get 86% put up on it! Seriously though, Assassins Creeds stock has fallen a ton over the last decade. The main characters and the first two games put up decent results when the series was fresh, but I feel like most of us are just done with it now because Ubisoft just ran it into the ground with too many games and a couple of them in particular being complete messes. Ive heard the last couple games have turned things around, but I imagine most of us gave up before that point! Assassins Creed II got absolutely obliterated by Final Fantasy VI in 2015, Altair and Ezio have both flopped in their recent contest appearances, and now this game just barely sneaks in as a 16 seed.

While Assassins Creeds stock has plummeted over the last decade, Witchers has skyrocketed. Witcher 2 was an absolute dud in GOTY 2011. Four years later, Witcher 3 won GOTY and did respectably in the Games Contest, putting up 45% on Metal Gear Solid 2 after a blowout win in round 1. Geralt managed to make it all the way to the division finals in 2018 (among admittedly average competition, but still!). Theres reason to believe the game has only grown stronger over time as more people have gotten the opportunity to play it, and now it even has a hit Netflix show (that isnt about Witcher 3 itself, but it can only help, I imagine). Theres reason to believe Witcher 3 has what it takes to make a deep run, and I think itll start off strong here.

Leonharts Vote: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt

Leonharts Prediction: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt with 74.17%
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Kleenexs Analysis

Weve already seen the Witcher 3 back in 2015, and the game was surprisingly potent given that it had only recently just come out at the time. It only made the second round, but put up a good fight against Metal Gear Solid 2. The series has only gotten more exposure over the years, what with the Netflix show and everything. Geralt was in 2018 and had a...super weird run to the 4th round because finally losing to Auron in another respectable performance. Witcher 3 is one of the games that people have pegged making it out of the bottom half of the bracket and it definitely has a real shot.

We can try to use today as a measuring stick, but I think thats going to be kinda tough. Assassins Creed games havent done particularly well in the past, and even though the newer brand of AC games (Origins & Odyssey) seem pretty well received, I think theyre likely less notable in a contest setting than the older games. This should theoretically be a blowout for the Witcher, so well see if thats something the game is capable of. If not, my bracket is going to be pretty upset.

Kleenexs Prediction: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt with 79.50%

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Guests Analysis ctes

The Witcher 3 is perhaps the most interesting contestant in bracket if we look at the difference between earliest round something can realistically lose versus latest round something can realistically lose. That seems to be round 3 to the final basically. Today however, I don't believe we can say anything for certain. I believe Witcher will look incredibly good today, one of the biggest blowouts to be sure. Regardless of how strong Witcher ends up being, it's very well respected among hardcore and casuals gamers both. Unfortunately, this match will tell us nothing about its chances in the long run, because its facing Assassin's Creed.

We saw Call of Duty at absolute trash levels against a weaker game. This will be similar. Both series fell a lot when the decided to just milk out games too fast and their real target audience became a bit younger. There's no telling how much of this loss will be due to Assassin's Creed. Furthermore, Odyssey is probably a lot weaker than Black Flag. Sp predictions for the day, Witcher scores well above 80%, people will shout that its gonna challenge Skyrim mostly ignoring how far AC could've fallen and we'll see it less beastly later on.

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - 87.51%
Assassin's Creed Odyssey - 12.49%

I'm attempting a real high shot here, but when typing a smaller
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