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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
Master Moltar
04/03/20 10:56:24 AM
#78:


Round 1 Mass Effect 3 vs. Starcraft II: Wings of Liberty

Moltars Analysis

i see what u did there - https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6146-best-game-ever-day-24-round-2-starcraft-vs-mass-effect-2

Funny match as its basically a battle between the way less popular sequels of both games. Mass Effect won it before, and I think itll win again now. Mass Effect 3 is a step down, but at least weve seen it have some contest strength (it did come the closest to beating Undertale in 2015 lolololololol)

Starcraft II? All signs point to it being far, far weaker than the original Starcraft. Even some fans of the original Starcraft turned against the game. Definitely dont see this sequel match being as close as the original.

Moltars Bracket: Mass Effect 3

Moltars Prediction: Mass Effect 3 58%

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transiences Analysis

This is a cute sort of baby rematch from the 2015 contest, where the up and coming Mass Effect 2 bombed horribly and nearly lost to Starcraft. This match is kind of a joke: Starcraft 2 was somewhat poorly received due to the way they split its campaigns into three separate games, and ME3's ending debacle has sunk the Mass Effect series forever. And, judging by today's glorious results, Bioware's impotence has stretched out to Dragon Age as well. At this point, I'd be pretty surprised if ME2 can win its division. It'll take people recognizing that RE2 was a remake to steer it back in the right direction, and even Fallout 4 has a great shot there.

I can't see Starcraft 2, a PC exclusive from a genre we don't play anymore, winning a match, but if Mass Effect 3 attracts enough disdain it might make a go of it. I'm going to go real low on ME3 because I just have no faith in that series right now.

transience's prediction: Mass Effect 3 with 57.65%

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Leonharts Analysis

Its time for the #2 game from 2015 to step into the ring, and with Undertales round 1 upset, that makes Mass Effect 3 the strongest game remaining from that contest! A man can dream. Im not exactly sure what to expect from Mass Effect 3 here. Its been 8 years since the ending controversy, so have people lost their ire about it and now they can reflect on the good parts, especially since theyve had something else to move onto in Andromeda? Or have people just stopped caring about it altogether? The 2018 contest would seem to suggest the passion for Mass Effect just isnt there anymore, and that might hurt ME3 more than any other entry in the original trilogy.

That being said, I still think it can stand up to a Starcraft II game. If you think people dont care about Mass Effect anymore, when did they ever care about Starcraft II? That thing came and went like it never even happened. Im stunned this game even made it in! I think people will side with Mass Effect 3 because its the thing we know and weve actually played. I dont think anti-voting will play a huge role here, at least not enough for it to actually lose.

Leonharts Vote: Mass Effect 3

Leonharts Prediction: Mass Effect 3 with 60.15%
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Kleenexs Analysis

After Mass Effect 2s middling performance round 1, Id normally feel even more worried about Mass Effect 3 - the game that started the series downward spiral into being reviled by the internet. BUT WAIT! Along comes something the internet also reviles! Blizzard has not been in a great way over the past couple years, and Starcraft II was already treading hot water back when it came out. The original Starcraft may be something of a contest legend, but I very much doubt that translates to its sequel. I *think* Mass Effect probably edges this one out, but really I could see it going either way. I dont think either of these games are particularly well liked anymore, but Mass Effect feels like the correct pick to me.

Kleenexs Prediction: Mass Effect 3 with 52.25%

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Guests Analysis TsunamiXXVIII

In our last contest, we had Mass Effect 2 face StarCraft in Round 2. This contest, we get their sequels facing off in Round 1! Now, the raw X-Stats would say that ME3 is a lot stronger than ME2, but thats just a joke because ME3 was Undertales first opponent, the one that it needed all of its rallying power to get past because it started so late. But then again, you look at the vote totals for that day compared to other R1 matches, its not really that much higher, because the rallying started so late. Which means ME3s raw vote total is mostly legit, right? Its not like in 2013 whereoh, wait, Dravens R1 total was well below the elite characters R1 totals, too. Maybe both of the rallies had strong backlash effects after all? I mean, in 2015 it was 1v1s so theres a clear target for your anti-rally rallying, but in 2013 we had a third place character getting 10k in even Dravens earliest matches.

But the funny thing is, even the adjusted X-Stats say ME3 gets 53% on StarCraft, which is more than what ME2 actually got on it. And putting ME2 into the calculator instead gives pretty much the same percentage as the actual match, so its not like there was some weird Adjusted X-Stat voodoo where ME2 was expected to win by more. IIRC that was one of the matches with rallying on both sides. So is ME3 actually stronger than ME2? I doubt it, but the X-Stats say so, and SC2 is obviously going to be weaker than SC1. Im sure the rest of the crew will be down on ME3 after ME2s performance against RE7, but 1-16 match or not, that was a battle of two established franchises, and apathy votes tend to go towards the more established namewhich is Resident Evil.

Oh, wait, StarCraft is the more established name, isnt it? Well, then, I guess Ill stick with my initial Oracle pick even though I chose the percentage to be a smartass.

Mass Effect 3 with 50.95%
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Crew Consensus: Starcraft has no effect on Mass Effect.

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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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