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Topic	Game of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
Master Moltar 04/03/20 7:20:45 PM #97:	Round 1 Super Mario Galaxy 2 vs. Return of the Obra Dinn Moltars Analysis easy peasy we got OBRA DINN here i dont even know what a mario is Moltars Bracket: Return of the Obra Dinn Moltars Prediction: Return of the Obra Dinn 65% okay fine Moltars Bracket: Super Mario Galaxy 2 Moltars Prediction: Super Mario Galaxy 2 85% ____________________________________________________________________________ transiences Analysis I went into GOTD2 largely shrugging due to so many unknown factors, but with three main predictions: 1. Super Mario Odyssey is the second strongest game in the bracket. 2. Persona 4 Golden is legit and, thanks to facing western games early on, will be treated as if it is a full strength game. 3. Despite all efforts, some stupid third rate Nintendo game is going to crash the party in the bottom half of the bracket, similar to how Super Mario RPG did in 2015. Today is the first of three such contenders: Super Mario Galaxy 2, straight off of a fairly embarrassing loss to Mass Effect in 2015. Galaxy 2 is a late Wii game which is basically like saying it is a Wii U game. A lot of people abandoned the platform by the time we got to 2010, but even so, it's a core Mario game that is super well regarded as one of the best platformers ever. Its opponent is Return of the Obra Dinn, a mega cool Lucas Pope game with an amazing aesthetic and oh yeah one of the weakest games in this bracket. This thing is a homeless man's Walking Dead, and even that might be pushing it. If there's one thing I know about voters, it's that when given the choice between a cool obscure indie game and a Mario game, they're going Mario every time. I'm looking for Galaxy 2, despite not thinking a ton of it, to go for one of the biggest blowouts of the contest here. You don't need to care about Galaxy 2 to vote here. Some people will overreact and say that Witcher 3 is in trouble. They might be right! transience's prediction: Super Mario Galaxy 2 with 83.55% ____________________________________________________________________________ Leonharts Analysis If theres ever a time for Super Mario Galaxy 2 to look great, its now! The game suffered an upset loss to the original Mass Effect in 2015 (which I predicted, by the way!), and its a step below even Galaxy 1s thoroughly average contest strength. For whatever the reason, this site never really took to the Galaxy games despite their sterling reception and great sales numbers. That shouldnt be an issue here though because Return of the Obra Dinn will probably be one of the weakest games in the contest. Im just curious to see how high of a percentage Galaxy 2 is actually capable of! Leonharts Vote: Super Mario Galaxy 2 Leonharts Prediction: Super Mario Galaxy with 82.64% ____________________________________________________________________________ Kleenexs Analysis I should play Obra Dinn someday. We already have a general idea of where Galaxy 2 stands - roughly equal to the first Mass Effect. Thats clearly enough to take down Obra Dinn, which I have pegged as one of the weaker games in the bracket. It does seem to be well liked by the people who have played, but Im just not sure how many people that actually is. I dont think its a lot, and thats a bad place to be when youre against a game with Mario in the title. Given what we saw Odyssey do a few days ago, theres a reasonable chance that Obra Dinn gets obliterated here. Kleenexs Prediction: Super Mario Galaxy 2 with 81.75% ____________________________________________________________________________ Guests Analysis SuperNiceDog Not much to say here, massive Mario game from 2010 versus an indie game from late 2018. Even the Return of Obra Dinn subreddit is small, around 904 members, so yea, little to no hope. This match mainly will be to show what kind of realistic chance SMG2 will have in it's upcoming showdown in the 3rd round against The Witcher 3. I'd say it needs around 81% in this match to have a shot against Witcher. I think it will get very close to it. Super Mario Galaxy 2 with 80% ____________________________________________________________________________ Crew Consensus: Super Mario Round 2 --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ <cite>Master Moltar posted [p:936731345] in Game of th... [t:78534198]...</cite> <quote>Round 1 Super Mario Galaxy 2 vs. Return of the Obra Dinn Moltars Analysis easy peasy we got OBRA DINN here i dont even know what a mario is Moltars Bracket: Return of the Obra Dinn Moltars Prediction: Return of the Obra Dinn 65% okay fine Moltars Bracket: Super Mario Galaxy 2 Moltars Prediction: Super Mario Galaxy 2 85% ____________________________________________________________________________ transiences Analysis I went into GOTD2 largely shrugging due to so many unknown factors, but with three main predictions: 1. Super Mario Odyssey is the second strongest game in the bracket. 2. Persona 4 Golden is legit and, thanks to facing western games early on, will be treated as if it is a full strength game. 3. Despite all efforts, some stupid third rate Nintendo game is going to crash the party in the bottom half of the bracket, similar to how Super Mario RPG did in 2015. Today is the first of three such contenders: Super Mario Galaxy 2, straight off of a fairly embarrassing loss to Mass Effect in 2015. Galaxy 2 is a late Wii game which is basically like saying it is a Wii U game. A lot of people abandoned the platform by the time we got to 2010, but even so, it's a core Mario game that is super well regarded as one of the best platformers ever. Its opponent is Return of the Obra Dinn, a mega cool Lucas Pope game with an amazing aesthetic and oh yeah one of the weakest games in this bracket. This thing is a homeless man's Walking Dead, and even that might be pushing it. If there's one thing I know about voters, it's that when given the choice between a cool obscure indie game and a Mario game, they're going Mario every time. I'm looking for Galaxy 2, despite not thinking a ton of it, to go for one of the biggest blowouts of the contest here. You don't need to care about Galaxy 2 to vote here. Some people will overreact and say that Witcher 3 is in trouble. They might be right! transience's prediction: Super Mario Galaxy 2 with 83.55% ____________________________________________________________________________ Leonharts Analysis If theres ever a time for Super Mario Galaxy 2 to look great, its now! The game suffered an upset loss to the original Mass Effect in 2015 (which I predicted, by the way!), and its a step below even Galaxy 1s thoroughly average contest strength. For whatever the reason, this site never really took to the Galaxy games despite their sterling reception and great sales numbers. That shouldnt be an issue here though because Return of the Obra Dinn will probably be one of the weakest games in the contest. Im just curious to see how high of a percentage Galaxy 2 is actually capable of! Leonharts Vote: Super Mario Galaxy 2 Leonharts Prediction: Super Mario Galaxy with 82.64% ____________________________________________________________________________ Kleenexs Analysis I should play Obra Dinn someday. We already have a general idea of where Galaxy 2 stands - roughly equal to the first Mass Effect. Thats clearly enough to take down Obra Dinn, which I have pegged as one of the weaker games in the bracket. It does seem to be well liked by the people who have played, but Im just not sure how many people that actually is. I dont think its a lot, and thats a bad place to be when youre against a game with Mario in the title. Given what we saw Odyssey do a few days ago, theres a reasonable chance that Obra Dinn gets obliterated here. Kleenexs Prediction: Super Mario Galaxy 2 with 81.75% ____________________________________________________________________________ Guests Analysis SuperNiceDog Not much to say here, massive Mario game from 2010 versus an indie game from late 2018. Even the Return of Obra Dinn subreddit is small, around 904 members, so yea, little to no hope. This match mainly will be to show what kind of realistic chance SMG2 will have in it's upcoming showdown in the 3rd round against The Witcher 3. I'd say it needs around 81% in this match to have a shot against Witcher. I think it will get very close to it. Super Mario Galaxy 2 with 80% ____________________________________________________________________________ Crew Consensus: Super Mario Round 2 --- Moltar Status: hype Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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