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Topic | Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1336 |
MetalmindStats 04/08/20 9:16:59 AM #322: | You may have noticed that certain US states consistently have few or often even no votes registered on poll maps for matches this contest. I think I might have found an explanation for that. Following research into the matter, it appears likely that most/all votes from IPs in said states are being miscategorized as from other entities, though by what means I do not know. Here's an example breakdown focused on two comparable duos of one match from this contest versus one match from last contest, the only other one with an identical voting format: Fire Emblem: Awakening/Deus Ex: Human Revolution 2020 vs. Ike/Joel 2018; Rocket League/Dragon Ball FighterZ 2020 (as of 3:45 AM PDT) vs. Garrus Vakarian/Ramza Beoulve 2018 Connecticut (CT) and South Dakota (SD) both had zero votes in the first of those two 2020 matches, and each appears to have only one vote in the second 2020 match so far. Likewise, Alaska (AK), Arkansas (AR), and Colorado (CO) have zero votes to date in the second 2020 match, and seemingly only one vote each in the first 2020 match. Alabama (AL), Delaware (DE), and Maine (ME) have one apparent vote apiece in both 2020 matches, while the same is true for Arizona (AZ), Idaho (ID), Missouri (MO), Montana (MT), New Mexico (NM), Rhode Island (RI), and Vermont (VT) in one of the two 2020 matches each. In contrast, all of the aforementioned states appeared to have at least double-digit and typically triple digit vote totals implied by their margins in both 2018 matches. Albania has the same two-letter country code from the International Organization for Standardization (henceforth ISO) as Alabama's postal code. 51.11% of Albanian votes were for Fire Emblem: Awakening, versus 48.89% for Deus Ex: Human Revolution. That requires a minimum of 45 Albanian votes in that match, versus 2 such votes in Ike/Joel 2018. In fact, according to Luster Soldier's data, Albania had only recorded any amount of votes above 0 in 70% of polls with geolocation through poll 7914, of which Ike/Joel 2018 was one. An even more extreme contrast can be derived from the other example duo: Rocket League/FighterZ had at least 68 Albanian votes as of 3:45 AM PDT, versus 0 Albanian votes in Garrus/Ramza 2018. There's no other cases where both a given country shares its code with a US state and said country's apparent vote total was anomalous in one or both 2020 matches. However, there's some other cases where a given country's apparent vote total in both 2020 matches was markedly anomalous relative to both 2018 matches. They are as follows:
A big thank you goes to Luster Soldier for providing me with your full list of countries with country codes by amount of GameFAQs polls with at least one vote from said country, plus links to the source code for poll maps. Both proved instrumental in researching and constructing this post; I can only hope that this information, however limited it may be, helps you finish what I've started. --- "I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people who do." You won the CBX Guru Contest, Advokaiser! Bully for you! ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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