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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
Master Moltar
04/09/20 6:16:36 PM
#454:


Kleenexs Analysis

Remember how I talked a day or two ago about how Uncharted games are actually kinda weak? Here you go. Uncharted 2 - probably the strongest of the four - a game that once lost to Halo - a game that couldnt even break 60% on THE LEGEND OF DRAGOON - is the strongest of the series. Uncharted 4 was well liked when it came out, but I think by then most people were sort of done with Uncharted, so I have a hard time seeing it look that good here. And by that I mean its going to lose to the best Mario Kart game. Now dont get me wrong, I know Mario Kart games havent been that strong in the past, but they almost always get put up against another game higher up in the Nintendo hierarchy. Thats not the case here, and I actually think Mario Kart is going to win this one cleanly.

Kleenexs Prediction: Mario Kart 8 with 59.50%

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Guests Analysis paulg

Uncharted has a somewhat poor track record in these contests. Uncharted 2 has some victories in the game contests but got doubled by Sonic 2 in 2015 and lost to Halo in 2010. Nathan Drake, the main character of the Uncharted series, has only won once, a three-way where he barely beat a pre-Smash Pac-Man, but has lost as a 2 seed in the first round of 2010, lost to Tails in 2018 and got destroyed by CATS way back in 2008.

But Mario Kart's track record isn't great, either. MKWii only beat Ace Attorney by like 53-47% and got obliviated by Pokmon GSC. The series also lost to Mega Man in a match many thought it could win. Super Mario Kart did look impressive in 2009 though, almost beating Super Metroid on two occasions, but it's the only game (outside of maybe Mario Kart 64) in the series that has looked decent in these contests, and that was the first game in the series way back in the mid-1990s. Recent Mario Kart titles have disappointed.

Mario Kart 8 got 80-20'ed by Super Mario 64, but that was a SFF beatdown (plus SM64 was one of the strongest games in that contest anyway), so MK8 is probably not completely weak.

I originally has MK8 pegged around the 60% mark, but that's probably too high. I still think MK8 wins without too much trouble, but Uncharted 4 does stand a chance of winning.

Prediction: Mario Kart 8 - 54.11%

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Crew Consensus: Mario Kart is the heavy favorite, but transience is siding with Uncharted

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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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