LogFAQs > #961002269

We estimate that the absolute number of excess myocarditis events in the 28 days following a first dose of adenovirus or mRNA vaccine is between one and six per million persons vaccinated, and the excess risk following the second dose of the mRNA-1283 vaccine is ten per million. By contrast, we estimate 40 excess myocarditis events per million in the 28 days following SARS-CoV-2 infection. The risks are more evenly balanced in younger persons aged up to 40 years, where we estimated the excess in myocarditis events following SARS-CoV-2 infection to be 10 per million with the excess following a second dose of mRNA-1273 vaccine being 15 per million.

Exclusively considering that last figure, which is the main angle I can see the vaccines being attacked from, this is still a pretty low incidence. It also lumps severity of all degrees of myocarditis together into the excess myocarditis figures. Infection with the virus tended to have more severe cardiac injury whenever it occurred. On top of that there are many more sequelae to consider with infection with the virus.

Even as a person under 40, it seems clearly stacked in favor of vaccination to me.