Board 8 > 2011 NFL Ladder Contest - Week 2: Where the Browns are favored in Indianapolis

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DpObliVion
09/13/11 1:35:00 PM
#1:


After the standings, there will be a discussion topic. I appreciate all input in attempting to improve the contest.

Welcome to the 2011 NFL Ladder Contest! In this wonderful contest created by BBallman7, every week during the regular season you have a challenge. If you get it correct, you move onto the next level; if you get it wrong, you stay at that level to try again the next week. Each level gets tougher as you progress. There will also be a bonus question every week; getting the bonus correct adds to your tiebreaker score which in the end would be used to decide a winner if there are multiple people on the highest-reached level. There are no limits to sign-ups, and you can join at any time during the season.

A few ground rules:
-Please say which level you are on when you post your pick. In most cases it will probably be obvious, but this makes it easier for me to record the picks.
-The deadline to make a pick is at the start of the second set of games on Sunday afternoon (4:15 PM ET). That means no SNF/MNF picks after most all the games have started or finished. Obviously you cannot pick a game that has already started.
-The deadline to answer the bonus question is at the start of games on Sunday (1 PM ET).
-I get my spreads from an online site providing lines from several sources, both in Vegas and out. Although these sources may continue to change their lines throughout the week, the ones I post in the topic are frozen and final for our purposes.

Explanation of Levels:

Level 1: Pick a winner. Simply pick one team to win their game. If they win, you go on to level 2.

Level 2: Pick an Underdog to win. You must pick a team that is an underdog to win their game. Underdogs will always be the team listed second.

Schedule:
(Home team in CAPS; favorites to the left, underdogs to the right)
Sunday, September 18th
NEW ORLEANS vs Chicago
DETROIT vs Kansas City
NY JETS vs Jacksonville
BUFFALO vs Oakland
Baltimore at TENNESSEE
PITTSBURGH vs Seattle
Green Bay at CAROLINA
MINNESOTA vs Tampa Bay
Cleveland at INDIANAPOLIS
Dallas at SAN FRANCISCO
Houston at MIAMI
NEW ENGLAND vs San Diego
DENVER vs Cincinnati
Philadelphia at ATLANTA

Monday, September 19th
NY GIANTS vs St Louis

Bonus Question: How many underdogs will win this week?

Remember to check the discussion topic following the standings!


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DpObliVion
09/13/11 1:35:00 PM
#2:


Level 2 - Pick an underdog
7Deuce86
Articuno2001
Axalon0
BakusaiTenketsu*
BBallman7
bbbtime*
BFairfield
blindhobo13*
BrettEagles*
Camden*
Chronic1000
Cokes*
CommodoreTN
Crono801*
crazyisgood
daverath*
davidponte*
Dilated Chemist*
dowolf
Eternal_Debate
Evil_REmade
ExquisiteSamurai*
fortybelowsummer*
GunMage*
Hannyabal
hockeydude15
JaKyL25*
Jukkie
KCF0107
Kirby Driver Reborn*
KommunistKoala*
Luster_Myst*
MajinZidane
MartinFF7*
masterplum*
MaxedOutRyu*
mccheyne*
Menji76*
Meow1000
MrsFrisby
Ngamer64*
Paratroopa1
RappinHobo9292*
Regaro_Ukiera
resistance_pro*
SmartMuffin*
sonten1*
SpeedYoshi*
Suprak the Stud
theawesomestevr
thekitchensink
TheKnightOfNee*
WalrusJump
warning_crazy*
WiggumFan267
Xuxon
Yonex

Level 1 - Pick a winner
Chrono1219*
DpOblivion
Dr Football*
meche313
MMXcalibur
MSS*
Pondos
RPGLord95*
Runemistress*
Seginustemple
Sir Chris
thel3fty
The Raven 2
Vcharon*
Vengeful_KBM*
War*
Wizardsfan1000


DISCUSSION TOPIC: The Ladder Contest provides a lot of fun challenges throughout the NFL season, but one area of controversy has been the Broken Rung challenge (Level 7: Pick just one game with the spread, but if you're wrong, you go back down to Level 6). Some have been outspoken about it in the past. I had actually been in support of it in the past, but now that I'm running the contest, I got to thinking about it and I really don't like it.

Spreads are set with the goal of making the chances for either side to win to be as close as possible. So in theory, you are making an educated guess on a ~50/50 opportunity. Most likely those are better odds of success than the surrounding levels, but there's the risk of dropping back down to Level 6 which was already cleared, in some cases taking several weeks to do so. At best, you spend a week on a relatively easy, boring, and repetitive challenge (having already dealt with spreads to a more difficult degree in Levels 3 and 5) instead of attempting one of the more fun and challenging levels.

Now, some of you may like the risky nature of the level, or like it as a bridge to the really difficult levels. Or maybe you just don't want to see such a change made as you compare your performance to previous years. So I would like to see where everyone stands on this issue, whether you are for or against this level and how you might like to see it changed.

Some general possibilities are: Leave it as is; leave the challenge but remove the risk; alter the challenge but keep the risk; remove it and create a new challenge in its place; or skip it and move onto what's usually Level 8.


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RappinHobo9292
09/13/11 2:15:00 PM
#3:


Level 2: Tampa Bay
Bonus: 4

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BFairfield
09/13/11 2:19:00 PM
#4:


Level 2: Tampa Bay
Bonus: 3

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KommunistKoala
09/13/11 2:20:00 PM
#5:


Level 2: Tampa Bay
Bonus: 3


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Suprak the Stud
09/13/11 2:21:00 PM
#6:


Level 2: Tampa Bay
Bonus: 2

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DpObliVion
09/13/11 2:21:00 PM
#7:


Level 1: Steelers
Bonus: 5


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HookedOnSonics
09/13/11 2:26:00 PM
#8:


Level 2: DA Bears
Bonus: 5

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TheKnightOfNee
09/13/11 2:29:00 PM
#9:


Level 2: Tampa Bay
Bonus: 4


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Chrono1219
09/13/11 2:30:00 PM
#10:


Level 1: JETS
Bonus: 3

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fortybelowsummer
09/13/11 2:49:00 PM
#11:


Level 2: Chicago
Bonus: 4


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HookedOnSonics
09/13/11 2:50:00 PM
#12:


Maybe have some other kind of player related question? Maybe pick one to fail, ie Pick a starting QB who will throw for under 100 yds?

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DpObliVion
09/13/11 3:05:00 PM
#13:


I MISSED A GAME

WASHINGTON vs Arizona

blah


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Articuno2001
09/13/11 3:24:00 PM
#14:


Level 2: SAN FRANCISCO
Bonus: 3

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davidponte
09/13/11 3:30:00 PM
#15:


Level 2: Oakland
Bonus: 2

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7Deuce86
09/13/11 3:41:00 PM
#16:


Level 2: Tampa Bay
Bonus: 3


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junk_funk
09/13/11 3:48:00 PM
#17:


Level 1: PITTSBURGH

Bonus: 2

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hockeydude15
09/13/11 3:53:00 PM
#18:



Level 2: Tampa Bay
Bonus: 4


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KCF0107
09/13/11 4:31:00 PM
#19:


Level 2 - Miami Dolphins
Bonus - 5


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KCF0107
09/13/11 4:32:00 PM
#20:


I have an idea:

Could you put in the OP the previous bonus question and the answer?

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Wizardsfan1000
09/13/11 4:38:00 PM
#21:


Level 1: Dallas Cowboys
Bonus: 3

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MajinZidane
09/13/11 4:38:00 PM
#22:


ATLANTA
BONUS 3

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MajinZidane
09/13/11 4:39:00 PM
#23:


level 2 ^

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Eternal_Debate
09/13/11 4:44:00 PM
#24:


Level 2: Chicago
Bonus: 3


Don't think I have made it past level 6 the past two years, so the discussion probably won't affect me much. I did get stuck on level 6 for most of the season the first time though (Got through levels 1-5 in 5 weeks then failed every remaining week to pass level 6), so yeah, I'd hate to drop back to that level if I did manage to pass it. I say scrap it. I'm sure you can come up with a good replacement.

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Paratroopa1
09/13/11 4:46:00 PM
#25:


Level 2: Atlanta Falcons
Bonus: 6
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BrettEagles
09/13/11 4:48:00 PM
#26:


Level 2: Tampa Bay
Bonus: 3


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DpObliVion
09/13/11 5:08:00 PM
#27:


From: KCF0107 | Posted: 9/13/2011 7:32:55 PM | #020
I have an idea:

Could you put in the OP the previous bonus question and the answer?


Yeah, I should've done that. I completely forgot about any kind of recap of last week, was focused on the discussion topic (which most are ignoring) and following spreads to get an idea of when I should put the topic up in future weeks. They're taking their sweet time putting out lines for the Monday Night game....


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JaKyL25
09/13/11 5:46:00 PM
#28:


Level 2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Bonus: 3


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Crono801
09/13/11 5:47:00 PM
#29:


Level 2: Tampa Bay
Bonus: 3


As far as level 7 goes, I say we should just skip it and move onto level 8.
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_Yonex_
09/13/11 6:43:00 PM
#30:


Level 2
SAN FRANCISCO

Bonus: 1

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Camden
09/13/11 7:34:00 PM
#31:


Level 2 - Tampa Bay
Bonus - 3


As for the broken rung, maybe tweaking it a bit? Instead of picking one game against the spread, pick two. Get both right and move on, get one right and stay in place, get both wrong and down you go.

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Pondos
09/13/11 7:41:00 PM
#32:


Level 1: Jets
Bonus: 5

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GunMage
09/13/11 8:45:00 PM
#33:


Level 2: Tampa Bay
Bonus: 4

Level 6 is the player TDs right? I don't mind Broken Rung as is, but Camden's idea sounds like a good alternative, so it's not all or nothing.

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WalrusJump
09/13/11 8:49:00 PM
#34:


L2: da bears
Bonus: 3

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daverath
09/13/11 9:01:00 PM
#35:


As for the broken rung, maybe tweaking it a bit? Instead of picking one game against the spread, pick two. Get both right and move on, get one right and stay in place, get both wrong and down you go.

I like the idea of this, if not the exact challenge. I think something that can be a win, a push, or a fail would be a good challenge. A good balance for me would be something that works out to around 20% pass chance, 70% push chance, 10% drop chance (for the epic fail). Of course percents are just theoretical, but the idea that it's hard to move on, but a really low chance of a full fail. I'm thinking something like "Pick at least 3 games (up to all of them) using the spread. If you get 3 wrong using teaser rules (you were wrong by more than 6 points), you drop down. If you get 3 right under normal spread rules, and didn't hit the fail condition, you advance. This way you could take a bigger risk for a high chance of success.

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Menji76
09/13/11 9:09:00 PM
#36:


Level 2: Oakland

Bonus: 3




What does the * by my name mean? I got a bonus right?

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blindhobo13
09/13/11 9:11:00 PM
#37:


Level 2: Atlanta
Bonus: 2
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DpObliVion
09/13/11 9:38:00 PM
#38:


What does the * by my name mean? I got a bonus right?

Yup, I also should have put that note in.


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SpeedYoshi
09/13/11 10:08:00 PM
#39:


Level 2: Oakland
Bonus: 2

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BakusaiTenketsu
09/13/11 10:22:00 PM
#40:


Level 2: San Francisco
Bonus: 3

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resistance_pro
09/14/11 1:03:00 AM
#41:


Level 2: Tampa Bay
Bonus: 4

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MrsFrisby
09/14/11 2:06:00 AM
#42:


Level 2: Tampa Bay
Bonus: 3

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Dilated Chemist
09/14/11 2:48:00 AM
#43:


Level 2: Atlanta

Bonus: 3

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_MSS_
09/14/11 4:31:00 AM
#44:


Level 1: pittsburgh

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_MSS_
09/14/11 4:32:00 AM
#45:


Bonus: 4

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Regaro_Ukiera
09/14/11 7:25:00 AM
#46:


Level 2: Tampa Bay
Bonus: 3

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RPGLord95
09/14/11 10:59:00 AM
#47:


Level 1: Pittsburgh
Bonus: 4

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ExquisiteSamurai
09/14/11 1:24:00 PM
#48:


Level 2:
Atlanta Falcons

Bonus: 4

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DpObliVion
09/14/11 5:10:00 PM
#49:


Hm


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SmartMuffin
09/14/11 8:14:00 PM
#50:


Edit: Nevermind, I misread that one

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