Board 8 > Post a character and I will (briefly) analyze their chances for SSB4

(+) Yeah! (+)

The guidelines:

-Post up to four characters per update. Limit one third-party character and one SSB veteran.
-The character must have originated in a video game and have been on a Nintendo system at least once
-Yeah that's pretty much it.

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Birdo
Little Mac
Andy
Mike Jones

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B/W Trainer
Rosalina
WAAAAAAAAALUIGI
Palutena

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Micaiah
Zoroark
Neku Sakuraba
Ridley

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Jimmy T. (WarioWare)
Kamek (Yoshi's Island)
Professor Layton (Professor Layton)
Samurai Goroh (F-Zero)

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Mario

will he be in it

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mystical ninja goemon

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Mega Man
<_<

Oshawott
Hades
Black Shadow

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Isaac (Golden Sun)

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Mewtwo

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Dixie Kong
Pichu
Paula
Sabrewulf

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Dark Young Link posted...
Sabrewulf

Holy ****, this would be awesome.

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Klonoa

Dimentio

Pokemon Rival (Blue / Gary)

Metaknight

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Tom Nook
Chicky Cubivore
Waluigi
Frank West

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agesboy posted...
Isaac (Golden Sun)

If they have Isaac then hopefully have

Alex
or
Felix

Paper Mario
Chrono

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Captain Syrup

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Pichu
Bowser Jr.
Baby Mario
Plum (Mario Golf)

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Viridi
Knuckles
Toad
Waddle Dee

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Oh, I should probably point out that since nothing is a sure-thing ever, the highest percentage I am giving is 99.99, and the lowest is 0.01.

This is up through Seisen. Anything after him counts as the next update.

Birdo
In addition to the four established staples, there are at least four other Mario characters ahead of her, and unless the roster is well over 60, I don't see Mario getting that many reps.
Chances: 10%

Little Mac
He was an assist trophy in Brawl and since then has starred in a game that sold really well. In addition, his original game is availaible on the VC for both Wii AND 3DS. They are clearly trying to bring Punch-Out back into relevancy, and putting Little Mac as a playable character in the next Smash is clearly the next step, especially since it's a fighting game, and he's a fighting character.
Chances: 95%

Andy
If he had a chance, it would've been in Brawl. He just seems too generic and Advance Wars seems like a series best saved for ATs. However it's got a big enough fanbase that I won't completely write him off.
Chances: 20%

Mike Jones
He would be a great WTF character, but unfortunately it seems like lately Sakurai is trying to cater to the casuals, and let's face it, hardly any casuals have heard of this guy.
Chances: 4%

Mega Man
This one is even money. On one hand, there's no way Capcom doesn't get a character in this one. High-ranking Nintendo reps have even hinted at it. On the other hand, Capcom has been trying to pretend like Mega Man doesn't exist lately, so I could see the rep being someone from something like Resident Evil.
Chances: 50%

Black/White Trainer
The only way this is happening is if (s)he replaces the existing Pokemon Trainer, which I could definitely see them doing, but my gut tells me that they will want to stick to pleasing the 1st gen fans, especially since another 5th gen character already has a great shot at getting in.
Chances: 20%

Rosalina
Definitely one of the next two in line for the Mario franchise, and people are always clamoring for more female Smash characters. Given that Galaxy was still in production while Brawl was, there was little chance that she was getting in that, but this would be the perfet opportunity to add her.
Chances: 80%

Waluigi
As much as I'd love to see him in, he has enough haters that he seems best-reserved for ATs for now. But when Smash 5 comes around and the roster is nearing 70, he's probably got a shot.
Chances: 20%

Palutena
With Pit appearing for the first time in years in Brawl then Kid Icarus getting a new game this year, they're clearly trying to bring it back from obscurity. If the roster is large enough (I'd say over 52), then Palutena should be a sure-thing. That's IF we get a roster that large.
Chances: 70%

Micaiah
If this were a WiiU launch title, I would give her a much higher rating, but the facts are that the new Fire Emblem will be out by the time this is with a brand new lead, and Micaiah will be old news.
Chances: 18%

Zoroark
Zoroark, Lucario, Mewtwo. Exactly one of them will be in. I'm giving Zoroark a decent chance out of those three. Obviously their %'s will add up to 100.
Chances: 40%

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Neku Sakuraba
Seems to me like Geno would be the Square rep if there is one. Neku's game is popular among certain crowds, but he's just to obscure to the casuals as a third-party character.
Chances: 2%

Ridley
He's too big.
Chances: 0%

Ridley (seriously)
No way does Metroid get just one rep for four games in a row (ZSS is still part of Samus). Ridley is obviously next in line.
Chances: 95%

Jimmy T.
This one isn't looking so hot. I really don't think any of the Wario Ware characters have that great of a shot, and even then I'd say Jimmy is barely second or third in line.
Chances: 8%

Kamek
I know technically he'd be classified as Yoshi, but there are way too many Mario universe (Mario/Yoshi/Wario/DK) characters that would get in ahead of him.
Chances: 10%

Professor Layton
This one I could possibly see happening. The problem is what kind of moveset would he have? He just doesn't seem fit for a fighting game. In terms of rights/popularity, he absolutely should get in.
Chances: 30%

Samurai Goroh
I was absolutely baffled that he wasn't in Brawl, and will have the same reaction if he isn't in SSB4. He's right up there with Little Mac and Ridley.
Chances: 95%

Mario
This one is self-explanitory.
Chances: 99.99%

Goemon
Has been too obscure for far too long.
Chances: 1%

Isaac
I thought he had a decent chance for Melee, and downright expected him to be in Brawl. With the franchise recently revived, there's no way somebody from it doesn't get in this installment, and Isaac is a prime candidate.
Chances: 90%

Mewtwo
I'm giving him the lowest chances of the trio, but still a fair shot.
Chances: 25%

Dixie Kong
Would be too much of a Diddy clone, and there are other Donkey Kong characters that I'd put in front of her.
Chances: 10%

Pichu
Sad to say, he won't be back.
Chances: 3%

Paula
When people were worried about Ness being cut from Brawl, I can't believe she's even being brought up.
Chances: 4%

Sabrewulf
Given the terms that Nintendo and RARE are on, no.
Chances: 0.01%

Klonoa
This would be way cool. Not too good of chances though, I'd say. Namco has too many characters in front of him.
Chances: 1%

Dimentio
Had to look this guy up actually, as I haven't played Paper Mario past the first. I'd say Paper Mario characters outside of Paper Mario himself are pretty unlikely.
Chances: 4%

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Lyn
Krom (Fire Emblem: Awakening)
Lip (Panel de Pon)
R.O.B.

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Pokemon Rival
I don't think they'll have more than one Pokemon trainer (that uses Pokemon, anyway...)
Chances: 5%

Metaknight
He is Sakurai's creation. Smash is under Sakurai's development. And he is the most popular character in Brawl. Think for yourselves.
Chances: 99.99%

Tom Nook
Animal Crossing is totally due for a playable rep, and Tom Nook is a prime choice, but the moveset could be an issue.
Chances: 60%

Chicky Cubivore
This looks like it could be interesting, but I doubt that Nintendo is interested in marketing Cubivore much anymore.
Chances: 3%

Frank West
Could be the Capcom rep, or one of them. Definitely one of the top 5 most likely for Capcom.
Chances: 15%

Alex
As much as I love him and would love to see it happen, I don't think Golden Sun will get more than one character.
Chances: 7%

Felix
Could get in over Isaac, but if Isaac gets in then he is likely out.
Chances: 10%

Paper Mario
This is long overdue, but I don't know how they could pull it off without him being a Doc-like clone.
Chances: 30%

Crono
Hopefully not. Love the game, loathe the character.
Chances: 10%

Captain Syrup
The most probable Wario character for sure. She has a decent fanbase and could have a good moveset.
Chances: 25%

Bowser Jr.
One of the next in line for the core Mario franchise for sure. I could definitely see him getting a spot.
Chances: 50%

Baby Mario
Not one of the next in line for the core Mario franchise for sure. I can't really see him getting a spot.
Chances: 5%

Plum
She's always been a wildcard for me, in that I would be fascinated by her inclusion, but Peach already has the golf club, and she doesn't really fit in with the style of the rest of the Mario universe, so probably not.
Chances: 6%


Newcomers:
Little Mac (95%)
Ridley (95%)
Samurai Goroh (95%)
Isaac (90%)
Rosalina (80%)
Palutena (70%)
Tom Nook (60%)
Bowser Jr. (50%)
Zoroark (40%)
Paper Mario (30%)
Captain Syrup (25%)
Waluigi (20%)
Black/White Trainer (20%)
Andy (20%)
Micaiah (18%)
Dixie Kong (10%)
Birdo (10%)
Kamek (10%)
Felix (10%)
Jimmy T. (8%)
Alex (7%)
Plum (6%)
Baby Mario (5%)
Pokemon Rival (5%)
Dimentio (4%)
Mike Jones (4%)
Paula (4%)
Chicky Cubivore (3%)

3rd Party:
Mega Man (50%)
Professor Layton (30%)
Frank West (15%)
Crono (10%)
Neku Sakuraba (2%)
Klonoa (1%)
Goemon (1%)
Sabrewulf (0.01%)

Veterans:
Mario (99.99%)
Metaknight (99.99%)
Mewtwo (25%)
Pichu (3%)

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Shulk

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King K. Rool
Ghirahim
Ike

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SuperNiceDog? More like SuperChillGuy. Who is better than me at brackets by a mile.

From: Weakupedia | #008
mystical ninja goemon

came in for this

is Rare still with Microsoft? Because Banjoe Kazooie please

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Mii
Batman
Boo
Gyarados

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Balloon Fighter
K.K. Slider
Krystal
Rawk Hawk

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From: AdmiralZephyr | #022
the moveset could be an issue

no








movesets are not an issue for fighting games.

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Mach Rider (Mach Rider)
Victini (Pokemon Black/White)
Chibi-Robo (Chibi-Robo)
Tingle (Zelda)

The more I think about it, the more Victini seems like a lock. According to the Pokemon Dream World site, Victini is consistently the most "tucked-in" Pokemon in both Japan and the US, so he's clearly very popular among fans; perhaps even the most popular Pokemon this gen. He certainly has moveset potential too, whereas Zoroark's "Illusion" ability might not translate well to Smash.

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Jill (Drill Dozer)
Karate Joe (Rhythm Heaven)
Stafy
Sukapon (Joy Mecha Fight)

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If Kid Icarus is getting another rep, it will most likely be Magnus. Though I personally think Phosphora would be a lot more interesting and be not just another guy with a big sword.

Speaking of which...

Magnus
Phosphora

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Lloyd Irving (ToS - 3rd party)
Snake (SSB vet)
KOS-MOS (she's first party now!)

and uh ...

Roy

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Never forget.

So can I post more since you did an update? If so

Muddy Mole
Simon Belmont

lol not reading the rules

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Animal Crosser

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I wish Rosalina's chances were that high.

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Lucas (Mother 3)

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User Name Westbrick
User ID 6473276
Board User Level 20: New User (2)
Awarded to users with at least 20 Karma. Can create 10 topics, 75 messages per day. Can now mark messages for moderation.
Account Created Saturday, March 3, 2012 10:17 PM

Clearly this is an alt, but I'll count the noms for now since I didn't say it, but from here on out...

NO ALTS

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Dude have you seriously checked the karma of everyone in this topic

That's pretty boss

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[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

Nah, but I've at least recognized every single person who has posted except for him.

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whoops i should probably read the whole thread before posting

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Westbrick is not an alt, for the record

and has also been posting here for like a month

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Well he did hit a few of the alt-warning signs (making a 'hey I'm new' topic among them)

But I'm a master alt-spotter (I was timmy111 for ****s sake) and I don't think he is.

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Dark Samus
Wild Gunman
Wolf O'Donnell

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Ashley (WarioWare)

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The minute Phoenix Wright got in a fighting game is where "not enough moves" ceased to be a valid reason to exclude someone in a game.

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Link
(lolcnsrbypass) Ike
Wolf
Shigeru Miyamoto

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Cecil Harvey

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