Current Events > Poll: 28% of young people say they will certainly vote in 2018 midterms

(+) Yeah! (+)

Democrats are winning over younger voters by huge numbers, but as a highly contentious, voter turnout-dependent midterm election inches closer, theres a serious question of whether these young Democrats will come to the polls.

A recently released poll from the Public Religion Research Institute and the Atlantic conducted in June showed only 28 percent of young adults ages 18 to 29 say they are absolutely certain theyll vote in midterms, compared to 74 percent of seniors.

In a year when Democrats are hoping an energized base can deliver them massive gains in Congress and possibly the majority in one or both chambers this poll, on its face, should give Democrats some pause.

Of course, this is only one poll. There are other surveys with varied results; a recent poll conducted by the Associated Press and University of Chicagos NORC found that 32 percent of young voters would certainly vote and 56 percent were likely to. Another poll by Cosmopolitan magazine and SurveyMonkey found that 48 percent of young voters were absolutely certain theyd vote in the midterms.

And its actually a big improvement for Democrats compared to past midterms. In the 2014 midterms, when Democrats lost control of the Senate, only 23 percent of young voters participated, according to the census, which considers young voters as aged 18 to 34.

But the takeaway is still serious: While Democratic voters are more enthusiastic to vote in the 2018 midterms than in past off-year election cycles and recent polls show theyre more eager to get out to the polls than Republicans young voter turnout could make the difference in 2018.

Right now the blue wave is being powered by suburban professional women, but to fully capitalize on 2018, Democrats need to energize young voters and voters of color, Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report said.
Republicans have a millennial problem. Luckily for them, millennials dont consistently vote.

Young people havent been a reliable voter base for Democrats.

Full Story: https://www.vox.com/platform/amp/policy-and-politics/2018/7/18/17585898/young-voter-turnout-polls-midterms-2018

Why are young people unreliable voters?
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So much for the blue wave. Bring on the red tide!
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This poll doesn't really matter since every vote is in-state. It matters where people are voting, the overall number doesn't matter at all.
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Manocheese posted...

So much for the blue wave. Bring on the red tide!

Well said. You could rephrase the article to say that 72% of them dont care.

The DNC knows that theyre not going to win in 2020.
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I hope there is a blue wave but am really doubting that it will happen the more we get closer to the actual election.
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I wont even be part of a blue wave because my first vote will be to keep Joe Donnely in office

Apparently he is considered the most vulnerable (D)
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Does this surprise anyone? Young people, by and large, are impulsive, irrational, and have the attention span of goldfish.
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https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-some-early-high-quality-polls-can-tell-us-about-the-race-for-the-house/?ex_cid=story-facebook
Still looking good for the Democrats.
However, even if they win the House in November and topple Trump in 2020, it won't make much difference long-term unless they aggressively tackle our society's many problems.
For young voters in particular, that would entail a plan to bring down college costs and retire student debt.

Theyre also assuming that all 28% will vote for the democratic candidate, too.

The majority of them realize that opposing President Trump is not going to get them anywhere. They need to rebuild because they are fractured and have no unity. The voters and the DNC are not on the same page and they dont even have a candidate who could even stand up to President Trump.

Its pretty much guaranteed that he will win again in 2020.
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I'm too lazy to go to the grocery store for fucking food, it's easier for me to stop at the drive-thru on the way home. Why do they think I'd make a trip to go out for nothing? It's not that surprising.
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southcoast09 posted...

Theyre also assuming that all 28% will vote for the democratic candidate, too.

The majority of them realize that opposing President Trump is not going to get them anywhere. They need to rebuild because they are fractured and have no unity. The voters and the DNC are not on the same page and they dont even have a candidate who could even stand up to President Trump.

Its pretty much guaranteed that he will win again in 2020.

The only way he wins again is if the Democrats drop the ball (again) and run another unelectable candidate. There are plenty of people on the center-right of the spectrum that will jump ship and vote against Trump if given legitimate option.

That being said, watch the democrats run out an 80 year old communist or that shrieking idiot senator from Massachusetts and lose to Trump again.
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